Brendan Carr departure announced? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Dec 31 · $192 traded · $122 at stake · prices read 4 h ago

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The odds

9%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 8% on Oct 19, 9% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Yes 9% 6¢ 12¢ $8.33 2.1K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Brendan Carr

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  • FCC Chair Brendan Carr stops for roundtable discussions in Grand Forks, FargoKNOX News Radio · 6 days ago(KVRR) – It was a busy November 2nd in North Dakota for FCC chair Brendan Carr. He began the day in Grand Forks, discussing Unmanned Aircraft Systems with those involved in the city’s robust aviation industry, then travelled down to Fargo…
  • FCC Chair Brendan Carr addresses 'break glass moment' in Fargo roundtable for North Dakota broadcastersInForum · 7 days agoFARGO — The head of the U.S. government agency that regulates television, radio and other communications told North Dakota broadcasters he recognizes the “headwinds” they face in an ever-changing media landscape. Brendan Carr, chairman of…
  • Brendan Carr: Reporting on polls may violate broadcast license terms@https://x.com/freedomofpress · 8 days agoRegular reporting on government secrecy, surveillance, and the rights of reporters and whistleblowers. Working open source software products to protect journalists, newsrooms, and their sources. A database of press freedom incidents in the…
  • 'The View' is 'overtly partisan,' GOP groups tell Brendan CarrPOLITICO · 10 days agoThe NRSC and NRCC favor applying equal time rules for interviewing candidates to the ABC program. The National Republican Congressional Committee, which helps elect Republicans to House seats, wants to ensure its preferred candidates can…
  • Ted Cruz aims to stack FCC with Republicans before Democrats take Senate controlArs Technica · 5 days agoCruz and Trump seem to have no plans to fill FCC’s empty Democratic seat. Senator Ted Cruz (R-Texas) is aiming to widen the Republican majority on the Federal Communications Commission before Democrats take over control of the Senate in…
  • ORANGE CRUSH: DAY TWO QUESTIONS...cnn.com · 5 days agoGood morning. The news media is covering an entirely new political map after Democrats delivered a massive electoral rout. It’s a total repudiation of President Trump. It’s a gargantuan shift in power. And, as Washington Post editor Matt…
  • Frank Talk: Pallone In Pole Position To Again Lead House E&Crbr.com · 5 days agoRadio & Television Business Report He’s been an outspoken critic of FCC Chairman Brendan Carr and a key supporter of pending broadcast media legislation including the AM Radio for Every Vehicle Act, which passed the House of…
  • Cruz Presses On With FCC Pick As Senate Majority ShiftsRadio Ink · 5 days agoA GOP seat at the FCC is headed for a Senate hearing while the balance of Congress shifts blue. The Senate Commerce Committee has rescheduled the initial hearing for Republican nominee Danielle Thumann Severs while Democrats seek a…
  • Hearing Scheduled for FCC Commissioner Thumann Severs' NominationTV Tech · 5 days agoIf approved, she would be the fourth commissioner and give Republicans a 3-1 majority The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced on Tuesday that it will hold a hearing on the nomination of Republican Danielle Thumann Severs to the…
  • Blue wave emboldens ABC’s The View to bring Talarico, El-Sayed onDaily Kos · 5 days agoRemember when CBS would not allow Stephen Colbert to air an interview with James Talarico, so Colbert made it an exclusive for the now-cancelled show’s YouTube channel? Today the YouTube channel for The View has an interview with now…
  • Wilson backs prison cellphone jammingPost and Courier · 5 days agoSouth Carolina Attorney General Alan Wilson is applauding an upcoming Federal Communications Commission vote on rules that would allow correctional facilities to jam contraband cellphones. The FCC is expected to vote in November on rules…
  • Musk’s Starlink Eyes Buying Boost Mobile In Doomed Bid To Dominate SmartphonesTechdirt · 6 days agoTo try and goose growth, Starlink has recently been making it clear they’d like to try and get into the cellular and smartphone business. But the actual plan is, as with all things Musk, a misleading, hot mess. A key part of Starlink’s…

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

37%Pete Hegseth
  • Pete Hegseth37%▼ 5
  • Will Scharf30%▼ 13
  • Trent McCotter28%▼ 9
37 more
  • Stanley Woodward28%▼ 6
  • Amy Gleason27%▼ 7
  • Christopher Landau26%▼ 1
  • Howard Lutnick25%▲ 5
  • Kash Patel23%
  • Doug Collins21%▲ 1
  • Brad Cooper20%
  • Dan Caine20%▼ 3
  • Steven Cheung19%▼ 17
  • Kevin Hassett19%▲ 4
  • Linda McMahon18%▼ 3
  • Sergio Gor18%▼ 7
  • Peter Navarro17%▼ 3
  • Marco Rubio16%▼ 1
  • Brooke Rollins16%▼ 1
  • Chris Wright14%▼ 1
  • Doug Burgum14%
  • John Ratcliffe14%▲ 3
  • Scott Turner13%▲ 2
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.13%▼ 4
  • Steve Witkoff13%▼ 5
  • Bill Pulte13%▼ 1
  • Kelly Loeffler13%▼ 6
  • Joe Gebbia13%▲ 2
  • Mehmet Oz12%▼ 2
  • Jamieson Greer12%
  • Tom Homan11%▲ 1
  • Mike Huckabee11%▼ 1
  • Todd Blanche11%▼ 2
  • Rodney Scott10%
  • Sean Duffy10%▼ 1
  • Mike Waltz9%▼ 9
  • Russell Vought8%
  • Scott Bessent8%
  • Lee Zeldin8%▲ 1
  • Tilman Fertitta8%▲ 2
  • Brendan Carr5%▼ 3

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

99%Susie Wiles
  • Susie Wiles99%▲ 75
  • None before 2027<1%▼ 17
  • J.D. Vance<1%▼ 1
18 more
  • Marco Rubio<1%▼ 17
  • Scott Bessent<1%▼ 2
  • Pete Hegseth<1%▼ 33
  • Doug Burgum<1%▼ 2
  • Brooke Rollins<1%▼ 1
  • Howard Lutnick<1%▼ 2
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%▼ 3
  • Scott Turner<1%
  • Sean Duffy<1%
  • Chris Wright<1%▼ 1
  • Linda McMahon<1%
  • Doug Collins<1%
  • Lee Zeldin<1%▼ 1
  • Russell T. Vought<1%
  • John Ratcliffe<1%
  • Jamieson Greer<1%▼ 1
  • Mike Waltz<1%▼ 2
  • Kelly Loeffler<1%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions