Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
>99%chance▲ 53
Install
Chile rate decision in December (Dec 15, 2026 meeting)
The odds
56%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate56%▲ 2
- Hike 1-25bps37%▲ 1
- Cut 1-25bps4%▲ 2
- Hike more than 25bps2%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
How the odds have moved
Maintain current rate: 40% on Oct 28, 56% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | 56% | ▲ 2 | 56¢ | 60¢ | $1.67 | 3.8K |
| Hike 1-25bps | 37% | ▲ 1 | 35¢ | 41¢ | $2.44 | 10.8K |
| Cut 1-25bps | 4% | ▲ 2 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 306 |
| Hike more than 25bps | 2% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | 4.7K | |
| Cut more than 25bps | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.5K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Chile
Search ›- A desert stirs to life: Chile's Atacama erupts in its biggest floral display in decadesA field of colorful wildflowers blankets the Atacama Desert in northern Chile, transforming the world's driest non-polar desert into a vibrant landscape during the rare flowering desert phenomenon, known locally as the Desierto Florido, or…
- Northwestern QB Aidan Chiles ruled out vs. Iowa footballWith kickoff between No. 20 Iowa (6-2, 3-2 Big Ten) and Northwestern (6-2, 3-2 Big Ten) looming at Ryan Field, the Hawkeyes and Wildcats have released their gameday availability report. According to the Hawkeyes side of the report, Iowa…
- ‘Longlegs’ Star Alicia Witt Toplines Colombian Horror Thriller ‘Incuba Project,’ Directed by Chile’s Juan Pablo Arias (EXCLUSIVE)Slated to shoot in Colombia, the English-language feature also stars María Camila Giraldo, who played opposite Al Pacino in ‘The Ritual’ Alicia Witt, renowned for her star turn in box office hit ‘Longlegs” opposite Nicolas Cage, will play…
- Oscar-winning Chilean filmmaker Sebastián Lelio dies at 52The Washington Post Oscar-winning Chilean filmmaker Sebastián Lelio has died in Santiago, Chile, at 52 SANTIAGO, Chile — Oscar-winning Chilean filmmaker Sebastián Lelio, whose acclaimed drama “A Fantastic Woman” broke ground with its…
- Iowa Football: Northwestern Quarterback Aidan Chiles Will Reportedly Miss Iowa GameKirk Ferentz sounds off on CFP rankings Another Friday, another Friday morning news dump in Iowa athletics. But this time it doesn't involve the Hawkeyes. If Chiles indeed can't give it a go on Saturday night, Thamel said that backup Nicco…
- Romanian gymnast in Jordan Chiles medal dispute has doping suspension upheldThe Romanian gymnast at the center of controversy surrounding the bronze floor exercise medal at the 2024 Paris Olympics is now dealing with some turmoil of her own. Ana Barbosu has been suspended from competition for two years, starting…
- Chile Plans Hourly Contracts, Flexible HoursCHILE · LABOUR LAW Chile plans a labour bill that would allow hourly contracts and lengthen the period over which the 40-hour week is averaged, a change that could reshape labour costs for companies there. Chile’s government says it will…
- Sebastián Lelio, Chilean Director of Oscar-Winning ‘A Fantastic Woman,’ Dies at 52Chilean filmmaker Sebastián Lelio, who directed the Oscar winner “A Fantastic Woman,” died Friday at his home in Santiago. He was 52. “We are going through a very painful time, and his memory will remain with us forever. He was a wonderful…
- Why Chile’s President Has 68% DisapprovalChile’s President José Antonio Kast, a conservative who took office in March, is disapproved of by 68% of Chileans, according to the weekly poll published by Cadem, a Chilean polling firm, on Sunday, 8 November. Approval rose three points…
- Chile Budget Panel Sends Science Budget OnChile’s joint budget committee has sent the Science Ministry’s 2027 budget line to the Chamber of Deputies with a negative report, a setback for President José Antonio Kast’s conservative government. A joint committee of Chile’s Congress…
- Smith Finishes 29th In Chile TriathlonBermudian Tyler Smith finished 29th in the elite men’s race at the World Triathlon Cup Iquique in Chile on Sunday [November 8], recording an overall time of 52 minutes and 5 seconds. The sprint-distance event featured a 750-metre swim…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions