Hungary rate decision in November (Nov 17, 2026 meeting)

Kalshi Economy › Central banks Closes Nov 17 · $4.3K traded · $3.5K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

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The odds

98%Maintain current rate
  • Maintain current rate98%
  • Cut 1-25bps2%▲ 1
  • Hike 1-25bps1%
  • Cut more than 25bps1%
  • Hike more than 25bps<1%

How the odds have moved

Maintain current rate: 88% on Oct 21, 98% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 21, 7 PM ETMaintain current rate: 88% → 80%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Maintain current rate 98% 98¢ 99¢ $1.01 4.1K
Cut 1-25bps 2% ▲ 1 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 17.00
Hike 1-25bps 1% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 542
Cut more than 25bps 1% 2¢ $50.00 7.4K
Hike more than 25bps <1% 1¢ $100.00 21.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Hungary

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  • ‘The last bastion is gone’: the US right idolised Orbán’s Hungary. Can they recover now he has fallen? – podcastthe Guardian · 4 days agoOver the past decade, Hungary has been a beacon for the ‘postliberal’ right, with pro-Trump thinkers making regular pilgrimages to Budapest. Now Orbán is gone, how will the movement adapt?By Brian Goodman. Read by Christopher RaglandA…
  • Secret police files released in Hungary, 47 years after fall of communismBBC News · 5 days agoThe files were released on Wednesday as part of a campaign promise by Prime Minister Péter Magyar Hungary has opened communist-era secret police files to the public, in a controversial move the government says will help Hungarian society…
  • Secret police files released in Hungary, 37 years after fall of communismBBC News · 5 days agoHungary has opened communist-era secret police files to the public, in a controversial move the government says will help Hungarian society heal itself from the traumas of 45 years of communist rule. Critics say the move comes too late…
  • More signs of life in Hungary’s economyING THINK · 4 days agoBoth industry and retail sales expanded in September. Positive surprises appeared in both sets of data. As Hungary’s growth is expected to be supported by internal factors, the external influence remains the only question mark in the…
  • Hungarian Students Protest Against Education MinisterHungarian Conservative · 3 days agoStudents at the Ludovika University of Public Service in Budapest, Hungary, took to the streets on Friday, 6 November, to protest changes to teacher training that have left their academic futures uncertain, BAON.hu reports. Students from…
  • Hungarian car theft gang arrestedDailyNewsHungary · 4 days agoAs the Hungarian news portal Index describes, investigators successfully terminated the case of the Hungarian car theft gang – consisting of one woman and two men – who unlawfully expropriated 7 lorries, 19 cars and 2 boats whose overall…
  • Jitin Prasada's Hungary Visit Boosts India's Trade and Tech TiesLokmat Times · 3 days agoLokmat Times Union Minister of State Jitin Prasada recently concluded a significant three-day visit to Hungary, aiming to strengthen bilateral cooperation in trade, investment, technology, and industrial development This strategic trip…
  • Hungary ambassador to Netherlands summoned for consultations – UPDATEDailyNewsHungary · 3 days agoThe foreign ministry has summoned Hungary’s ambassador to the Netherlands to return for consultations in Budapest, Péter Szijjártó, the foreign minister, announced on Friday. Szijjártó added that there would be no ambassadorial-level…
  • Hungarian FM in talks with ministers of water managementDailyNewsHungary · 3 days agoHungarian Minister of Foreign Affairs Péter Szijjártó has had talks with ministers of water management concerning business opportunities linked to Hungarian water technology. Szijjártó met the Indian, Laos and Kuwaiti ministers of water…
  • Hungary to become world great power in the electric car industryDailyNewsHungary · 3 days agoAccording to Financial Times, Hungary could become a major centre for the electric car industry in the region. Hungary to become world great power in the electric car industry According to Financial Times, Hungary could become a major…
  • Yettel Hungary achieves 67.5% population coverage with 5GTelecompaper · 4 days agoYettel Hungary has released its 2025 Sustainability Report, showcasing significant progress across network growth, cybersecurity, and environmental initiatives. The operator expanded its 5G network coverage to 67.5 percent of the Hungarian…
  • Markets remain bullish on Hungary, ING Bank saysintellinews.com · 4 days agoMarket confidence in Hungarian assets has proved sustainable following the change of government, and the economy has moved beyond stagnation. The ...

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions