Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
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Bank Indonesia rate decision in November (Nov 18, 2026 meeting)
The odds
59%Maintain current rate
- Maintain current rate59%
- Hike 1-25bps29%
- Hike more than 25bps6%
- Cut 1-25bps4%
- Cut more than 25bps1%
How the odds have moved
Maintain current rate: 57% on Oct 30, 59% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maintain current rate | 59% | 56¢ | 65¢ | $1.54 | 12.00 | |
| Hike 1-25bps | 29% | 25¢ | 35¢ | $2.86 | 9.00 | |
| Hike more than 25bps | 6% | 2¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | ||
| Cut 1-25bps | 4% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.29 | 2.1K | |
| Cut more than 25bps | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 310 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Bank Indonesia
Search ›- Bank Indonesia expects export retention policy to boost forex reservesANTARA News Bank Indonesia expects export retention policy to boost forex reserves Translator: Imamatul Silfia, Yashinta Difa
- Bali Police and Bank Indonesia Destroy 3,731 Counterfeit Banknotes Worth Rp 341.5 MillionBeritabali reports that the Bali Regional Police (Polda Bali), in collaboration with the Bank Indonesia Representative Office for Bali Province, destroyed 3,731 counterfeit Indonesian Rupiah banknotes with a total nominal value of Rp…
- Bank Indonesia Reduces the Rupiah Reserve Requirement (GWM) for Commercial Banks through PADG 36/2026PADG 36/2026 amends several provisions of PADG Number 24/8/PADG/2022 and its appendices, as amended from time to time. These amendments include adjustments to the provisions concerning the fulfilment of the GWM in Rupiah and foreign…
- Bank Indonesia hails September trade surplus as buffer for economyANTARA News Bank Indonesia hails September trade surplus as buffer for economy Translator: Rizka Khaerunnisa, Yashinta Difa
- BI sees Indonesia's 2026 economic growth reaching 4.9--5.7 percentBank Indonesia (BI) projects that sustained government stimulus, improving economic sentiment, and stronger growth drivers across various sectors will keep ... BI sees Indonesia's 2026 economic growth reaching 4.9--5.7 percent Translator…
- USD/IDR Technical Analysis: Rupiah Weakness Tests Bank Indonesia’s Defence LineUSD/IDR daily chart: moving averages, resistance at 18,223 and 18,300, support at 18,050, 17,900 and 17,750. Illustrative chart drawn to published levels; not live exchange data. Note that the stair-step pattern since early October is the…
- Diamonds: A Girl’s Best Friend, at 93 Percent OffJohn Maynard Keynes described the gold standard—not gold itself—as a “barbarous relic”. Yet the metal has JPMorgan Chase’s decision to tighten lending to private credit funds marks a notable inflection point for NSE frames its leadership…
- Indonesia’s 5.47% Growth and Latin American GrainIndonesia’s GDP growth in 2026 accelerated to 5.47% in the third quarter, driven mainly by household spending, and that supports demand for imported wheat and soy products. For readers in the United States it matters because American…
- Indonesia shines as beaten-down assets rebound; Malaysia steady after holdIndonesian shares jumped more than 3% and the rupiah strengthened on Thursday as bargain hunters returned to beaten-down assets, while Malaysian markets were little changed after the central bank... Indonesia shines as beaten-down assets…
- The Export Ecosystem Indonesia Is Quietly Building – OpEdAt first glance, September looked like a good month for Indonesian trade. Exports rose 11.87 percent year on year to US$27.59 billion, and the trade balance posted a US$3.36 billion surplus. Look at the whole year, though, and the picture…
- Jakarta food costs stay hot despite easing inflationKLSE Screener Jakarta food costs stay hot despite easing inflation JAKARTA: Inflation in Indonesia has marginally reduced but is sustained at a relatively high level on account of persistently rising food prices as the weather phenomenon…
- Indonesia’s economy grows 5.47 per cent as household spending underpins expansionIndonesia’s national statistics agency put the country’s third-quarter economic growth at 5.47% in 2026 compared with the same period a year earlier, up from the previous quarter’s annual rate of 5.29%. The July-to-September result was…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions