Norway rate decision in December (Dec 17, 2026 meeting)

Kalshi Economy › Central banks Closes Dec 17 · prices read 47 min ago

The odds

79%Maintain current rate

Maintain current rate79%
Hike 1-25bps13%
Cut 1-25bps3%
Hike more than 25bps3%
Cut more than 25bps3%

How the odds have moved

Maintain current rate: 79% on Nov 6, 79% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays
Maintain current rate	79%	79¢	87¢	$1.15
Hike 1-25bps	13%	9¢	18¢	$5.56
Cut 1-25bps	3%	1¢	6¢	$16.67
Hike more than 25bps	3%	1¢	6¢	$16.67
Cut more than 25bps	3%	1¢	5¢	$20.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Norway

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English female coach Kaminski reaping rewards in NorwayBBC Sport · 5 days agoLaura Kaminski guided Crystal Palace to the WSL 2 title in 2024 When English manager Laura Kaminski was approached to become the head coach of Norwegian club SK Brann in January, she could not turn it down. She jumped at the opportunity to…
Norwegian Block Exchange AS (NBX.OL)Yahoo Finance · 4 days agoSeasonal returns chart - Yahoo Finance Yahoo Finance Singapore Norwegian Block Exchange AS (NBX.OL) Average monthly price return, 2021 - 2026 - CSPX.L iShares Core S&P 500 UCITS ETF USD (Acc) 795.37 -12.21 (-1.51%) - VOO Vanguard S&P 500…
Norwegian-Singaporean maritime innovators win awards at SNIC 2026Scandasia · 4 days agoThe awards recognised solutions aimed at improving maritime supply chains and developing more energy-efficient electric vessels. The seventh edition of SNIC took place at Amara Singapore under the theme From Seabed to Space: Governing…
U.S. trade commission rejects duties on Brazilian and Norwegian dissolving pulpLesprom Network · 3 days agoThe U.S. International Trade Commission ruled on November 6 that imports of high purity dissolving pulp from Brazil and Norway do not injure or threaten the U.S. industry. The Commerce Department will therefore not issue antidumping duty…
Norway Allocates 500M Kroner for Ukrainian Civil ServicesKyiv Post · 3 days agoNorway will allocate 500 million Norwegian kroner ($54 million) through the World Bank to support essential state services and secure public-sector payments in Ukraine ahead of 2027, the Norwegian government announced on Saturday, Nov. 7…
Ukraine seeks Norwegian funding for war risk insuranceBusiness Insurance · 4 days agoUkraine has urged Norway to become a major donor to a planned war risk insurance fund that aims to attract private investment despite ongoing Russian attacks, Ukraine Business News reported. Ukraine seeks Norwegian funding for war risk…
Toni Collette To Star In Apple Adaptation of Norwegian Dramedy PernilleDeadline · 5 days agoToni Collette is to star in Apple’s latest dramedy. The Hereditary star is fronting Lenni, a comedy drama based on Norwegian series Pernille, also known locally as Pørni. The streamer has greenlit the series from Nine Perfect Strangers…
'It stopped me quitting acting': The Norwegian star on her life-changing role in 2021's The Worst Person in the WorldBBC · 5 days agoReinsve came to fame as angst-ridden millennial Julie in the award-winning romantic comedy-drama. For the BBC's Close Up Film series, she reflects on her favourite ever film shoot. When Renate Reinsve walked the Cannes Film Festival red…
Norway Awards $44M in Grants to Advance Battery-Powered ShipsThe Maritime Executive · 3 days agoBy The Maritime Executive 2026-11-06 17:34:42 Between 2015 and today, Enova reports that the number of fully or partially battery-powered ships in operation in Norway has grown from one to 561. Enova provided support for 378 of these…
Norway, Sweden may end Nordic balancing model deal – TSOsMONTEL · 4 days agoNorway, Sweden may end Nordic balancing model deal Acer: grid congestion income jumps nearly a quarter in 2025 Higher gas prices revive corporate PPA interest Amazon: emissions accounting shake-up is deterring PPAs Ikea: “scary” high…
Toni Collette to Lead Apple TV Dramedy ‘Lenni’ Based on Norwegian FormatVariety · 5 days agoVariety Toni Collette to Lead Apple TV Dramedy ‘Lenni’ Based on Norwegian Format Toni Collette is set to star in a new Apple TV dramedy based on the Norwegian show “Pernille,” Variety has learned. Titled “Lenni,” Collette will lead the…
IMO, Norway and Singapore partner on maritime decarbonisationEngine · 4 days agoThe IMO, the Norwegian Ministry of Climate and Environment and the Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore (MPA) have partnered on a project to help developing countries reduce shipping and port emissions. The IMO, Norway and the MPA will…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onNorges Bank, Trading Economics

Trading closesDec 17, 2026 3:59 AM ET

Traded$0 (0 contracts)

Followed here sinceNov 5, 2026

The rules

If Norges Bank takes the action of cut more than 25bps at its December monetary policy meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions