Philippines rate decision in December (Dec 17, 2026 meeting)

Kalshi Economy › Central banks Closes Dec 17 · $20 traded · $14 at stake · prices read 12 h ago

The odds

45%Hike 1-25bps

Hike 1-25bps45%
Maintain current rate26%
Hike more than 25bps25%
Cut more than 25bps3%
Cut 1-25bps1%

How the odds have moved

Hike 1-25bps: 53% on Oct 22, 45% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Hike 1-25bps	45%	41¢	51¢	$1.96
Maintain current rate	26%	21¢	31¢	$3.23
Hike more than 25bps	25%	20¢	30¢	$3.33
Cut more than 25bps	3%		6¢	$16.67	535
Cut 1-25bps	1%	1¢	2¢	$50.00	235

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Philippines

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Stockton students learn Filipino-American history through new U.S. history alternativeCBS News · 14 days agoOctober 26, 2026 / 5:56 PM PDT / CBS Sacramento As the nation recognizes Filipino-American History Month, students at Cesar Chavez High School in Stockton are learning about their heritage through a class that connects their family…
Philippines, Bahrain discuss mandatory health insurance, wage protection for Filipino workersThe Filipino Times · 14 days agoThe Philippines and Bahrain have discussed proposed mandatory medical insurance for household workers and stronger wage protection measures as part of efforts to improve the working conditions of Filipino migrant workers. Department of…
Bankrolling American Empire in the PhilippinesThe Intercept · 15 days agoThe Pentagon and private capital have teamed up to militarize the island nation. The U.S. military just can’t help meddling in the Philippines. At the turn of the 20th century, an American war of conquest killed “over 20,000 Filipino…
Newark's Timog Restaurant: Filipino flavorsYahoo News · 15 days agoTimog Restaurant reimagines beloved Filipino dishes while preserving the flavors and traditions that make them special. From familiar comfort foods to creative culinary presentations, Timog offers guests a fresh perspective on Filipino…
Keeping the Lights On: The Future of Energy Security in the PhilippinesThe Manila Times · 14 days agoThese everyday concerns reflect a larger national challenge. As the Philippines pursues economic growth, expands renewable energy and embraces new technologies, how can it ensure that electricity remains dependable-not only in terms of…
Singapore, Philippines agree to explore nuclear energy | ABS-CBN NewsABS-CBN · 14 days agoSingapore and the Philippines on Tuesday signed letters of intent on two major power fronts, nuclear and on the bilateral cross-border connectivity, that are geared towards supporting energy security for both ASEAN member states…
Philippines’ Day Two Honourees Champion Possibility at ACES Awards 2026The Manila Times · 15 days agoKUALA LUMPUR, MALAYSIA - Media OutReach Newswire - 26 October 2026 - Philippine entrepreneurs, executives and institutions brought ambition and purpose to the second day of the ACES Awards 2026, celebrating excellence across enterprise…
Philippines launches e-visa in Dubai to attract more UAE touristsKhaleej Times · 15 days agoMon, Oct 26, 2026 | Jumada al-Awwal 14, 1448 | Fajr 05:05|DXB 31°C A senior Filipino diplomat is optimistic more tourists from the UAE will come and visit the Philippines with the introduction of electronic visa (e-Visa) system. Philippine…
Filipino-Canadian voice actor Eric Bauza dies at 46RAPPLER · 15 days agoBUGS BUNNY. Eric Bauza attends a premiere for the film Coyote vs. Acme, in Los Angeles, California, USA, on August 26, 2026. MANILA, Philippines – Filipino-Canadian voice actor Eric Bauza, best known for voicing iconic Looney Tunes…
Defense chief heads to Philippines for ASEAN-led defense ministers' meetingThe Korea Times · 14 days agoDefense Minister Kang Shin-chul speaks during a Cabinet meeting presided over by President Lee Jae Myung at Cheong Wa Dae in Seoul, Tuesday. Yonhap Defense Minister Kang Shin-chul heads to the Philippines Tuesday to attend a regional…
TECNO And Angélica Dass Spotlight 20 Filipino Stories Beyond Solo MotherhoodGizchina · 14 days agoWelcome to Gizchina.com for your daily dose of tech news, scoops and reviews. Looking for gadgets, new EV's or brand new tech? We got you!
Tambayan Grill & Filipino StoreThe Age Good Food · 15 days agoUpdated October 26, 2026,first published October 13, 2025 Needless to say, the experience at one of the state’s most distinctive roadside restaurants is unlike any other, and that’s before any dishes hit the table. When they do, the…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onBangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, Trading Economics

Trading closesDec 17, 2026 2:29 AM ET

Traded$20 (770 contracts)

At stake$14

Followed here sinceOct 21, 2026

The rules

If Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas takes the action of cut more than 25bps at its December Meeting of the Monetary Board on the Monetary Policy Stance, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions