Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?
>99%chance▲ 53
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Turkey rate decision in December (Dec 10, 2026 meeting)
The odds
72%Cut 1-250bps
- Cut 1-250bps72%
- Maintain current rate24%
- Hike 1-250bps2%
- Cut more than 250bps1%
- Hike more than 250bps1%
How the odds have moved
Cut 1-250bps: 75% on Oct 22, 72% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cut 1-250bps | 72% | 67¢ | 77¢ | $1.30 | 903 | |
| Maintain current rate | 24% | 19¢ | 29¢ | $3.45 | 1.3K | |
| Hike 1-250bps | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.6K | |
| Cut more than 250bps | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.4K | ||
| Hike more than 250bps | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 1.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Turkey
Search ›- Turkey complains Russian gas too expensive in possible discount bidTurkey plans to wind down its reliance on Russian gas, but for cost reasons rather than geopolitical concerns, the country's Energy Minister Alparslan Bayraktar said on Nov. 5, according to media reports. "The reason we are buying less gas…
- 7th Annual Turkey Bowl!Frozen turkeys are rolling down the grocery aisle this morning, and it's all to support a great cause. Bella Kunde is in Orangevale, checking out the action at Turkey Bowl! 7th Annual Turkey Bowl! Tasting Pearl and Tin Caviar! Sade is…
- Turkey arrests ex-minister as part of a widening fund manipulation scandalThe Washington Post Authorities in Turkey have arrested a former minister and deputy chair of President Erdogan’s ruling party ANKARA, Turkey — Authorities in Turkey have arrested a former minister and deputy chair of President Recep…
- Second Bundesliga club raises concerns over alleged artificial whistling inside Turkish football stadiumsFreiburg secured an important away victory against Thomas Reis' Turkish side through a 14th-minute goal from Lukas Kübler. As detailed in Get German Football News' match report and player ratings, the Bundesliga representatives dominated…
- Eight killed in series of shootings in western TurkeyEight people have been killed and one seriously injured in a series of shootings in western Turkey. The attacks took place in the Afyonkarahisar province on Thursday, with victims found in several locations in three separate vehicles…
- Turkey outlines plans for 'paradigm shift' in energy use ahead of climate summitThe Washington Post ISTANBUL — The Turkish energy minister has laid out plans for his country to wean itself away from coal and other fossil fuels as it prepares to host the COP31 climate change summit. World leaders are due to arrive next…
- Manhunt in western Turkey after eight killed in series of shootingsThe shootings took place in rural areas northeast of the city of Afyonkarahisar (pictured) A manhunt is under way for a suspect in western Turkey after eight people were killed and one seriously injured in a series of shootings. The…
- Turkish lawmakers approve a 3-nation defense pact with Saudi Arabia and PakistanThe Washington Post Turkish legislators have approved a defense cooperation agreement with Pakistan and Saudi Arabia ANKARA, Turkey — Turkish legislators on Thursday ratified a defense cooperation agreement among Turkey, Pakistan and Saudi…
- Iraola Slams Team After Disappoitning Night In TurkeyLiverpool left Istanbul with a familiar sense of disorder, beaten 3-2 by Fenerbahce in a match that exposed the fragility of Andoni Iraola's side when the game turned noisy, fast and untidy. For long spells there was enough in Liverpool's…
- Annual Turkey Drive with Punt Pass Kick & Putt Putt Kiss Charity FundraiserFriends of Folsom is kicking off its annual Turkey Drive with Punt Pass Kick & Putt Putt Kiss Charity Fundraiser tonight at Pitch and Fiddle Fair Oaks, all to benefit the Sacramento Food Bank Annual Turkey Drive with Punt Pass Kick & Putt…
- From Istanbul glory to Turkish frustration: Liverpool's contrasting historyLiverpool's relationship with Turkey has long been defined by contrasting emotions, from the unforgettable Champions League triumph over AC Milan in Istanbul in 2005 to a frustrating record against Turkish opposition on their home soil…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions