Which central banks will hike before 2027?

Kalshi Economy › Central banks Closes Dec 31 · $147 today · $84.8K traded · $35K at stake · prices read 31 min ago

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The odds

6%Swiss National Bank
  • Swiss National Bank6%

How the odds have moved

Swiss National Bank: 11% on Oct 20, 6% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Nov 4, 11 PM ETSwiss National Bank: 11% → 2%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
✓ US Federal Reserve 99% $1.01 44.5K
✓ Bank of England 99% $1.01 15.6K
✓ Bank of Canada 99% ▼ 1 $1.01 13.2K
✓ Reserve Bank of Australia 99% $1.01 2.2K
✓ Norges Bank 99% $1.01 1.1K
✓ Riksbank 99% ▲ 1 $1.01 9.0K
Swiss National Bank 6% 2¢ 9¢ $11.11 2.0K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Swiss National Bank

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  • Swiss National Bank chairman says bank's policy has been effectiveMarketScreener · 5 days agoPublished on 11/05/2026 at 09:21 am EST ZURICH, Nov 5 (Reuters) - The Swiss National Bank's monetary policy has dealt with a broad range of global crises in recent years and kept Swiss inflation broadly on target, Chairman Martin Schlegel…
  • EUR/CHF’s Steep Slide and Why the Euro May Struggle to Find Its FootingInvestingCube · 3 days agoInvestingCube chart · Yahoo Finance data The euro has been losing ground against the Swiss franc lately. Daily charts show a steady decline, with the EUR/CHF pair dropping toward 0.914. This represents a more than 2% decline just last…
  • Demonstrators in Lausanne protest against cuts to public sectorLe News · 3 days agoSeveral thousand people marched through Lausanne on Thursday evening to protest against cuts to public services, reported RTS. The demonstration came a month before Vaud’s cantonal parliament begins debating the 2027 budget. The protesters…
  • Swiss Franc remains steady amid safe-haven demandFXStreet · 4 days agoLooking ahead, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) is not expected to raise rates in the near term. This stance is further supported by Chair Schlegel’s remarks, which reinforced that Swiss inflationary pressures remain contained. While Swiss…
  • Bfsg LLC Makes New $9.81 Million Investment in ExxonMobil Corporation $XOMMarketBeat · 5 days agoMarketBeat Bfsg LLC Makes New $9.81 Million Investment in ExxonMobil Corporation $XOM - Bfsg LLC opened a new ExxonMobil position, buying 60,280 shares valued at approximately $9.81 million; XOM represents 0.9% of its portfolio…
  • BoE raises rates as Australia's RBA may pause hikesTicker · 4 days agoSeveral major central banks have raised interest rates recently, each at different stages of their tightening cycles. Policymakers are cautious of inflation, with interest rate outlooks influenced by Middle East conflict developments and…
  • Dell Technologies Inc. $DELL Stock Acquired by Compass Financial Management LLCMarketBeat · 5 days agoMarketBeat Dell Technologies Inc. $DELL Stock Acquired by Compass Financial Management LLC - Compass Financial Management increased its Dell stake by 79% in the third quarter, adding 3,164 shares to hold 7,170 shares valued at about $3.86…
  • What I Am Watching Today – EUR/USD, USD/CHF, AUD/USD, NZD/USDFXEmpire · 4 days agoEUR/USD and NZD/USD face selling pressure, USD/CHF remains supported by yield differentials, and AUD/USD struggles with resistance ahead of Friday's U.S. jobs report. We continue to see the same area offer plenty of resistance in the form…
  • SNB’s Schlegel: Policy rate remains our main toolFXStreet · 4 days agoSwiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Martin Schlegel said the policy rate remains the central bank’s main tool during a speech titled “Transmission and conduct of monetary policy in Switzerland” at a conference in Zurich on Thursday. The…
  • Euro remain steady against Swiss Franc amid lower oil prices, German manufacturing momentumFXStreet · 5 days agoFurther backing for the Euro came from hawkish comments by European Central Bank (ECB) officials, who indicated that additional rate hikes may be needed to contain inflation and prevent a wage-price spiral. However, the EUR/CHF cross faces…
  • Swiss Franc loses ground as traders turn to US employment dataFXStreet · 5 days agoThe Swiss Franc (CHF) gives up earlier gains on Thursday as the US Dollar (USD) shows signs of stabilising following US midterm election volatility, helping USD/CHF rebound. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 0.8176, up 0.10%…
  • Swiss Franc strengthens on weaker US Dollar, inflationary pressureFXStreet · 5 days agoThe CME FedWatch Tool indicates that markets are pricing in nearly an 82% chance of another rate hike in December. Investors are now awaiting key upcoming economic indicators, including weekly US Initial Jobless Claims on Thursday and the…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions