Will the FCC ban new Chinese data center transceivers? (Before Apr 1, 2027)

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Mar 31, 2027 · $38 traded · $36 at stake · prices read 6 h ago

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The odds

Mar 30, 2027even chance by
  • Before Jan 1, 202730%▲ 1
  • Before Apr 1, 202751%▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Before Jan 1, 2027: 34% on Oct 19, 30% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2027 30% ▲ 1 26¢ 33¢ $3.03 128
Before Apr 1, 2027 51% ▲ 1 47¢ 54¢ $1.85

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

36%Pete Hegseth
  • Pete Hegseth36%▼ 7
  • Will Scharf30%▼ 9
  • Amy Gleason28%▼ 5
37 more
  • Stanley Woodward28%▼ 4
  • Trent McCotter28%▼ 10
  • Howard Lutnick26%▲ 5
  • Christopher Landau25%▼ 1
  • Kash Patel22%▼ 2
  • Doug Collins21%▲ 1
  • Steven Cheung20%▼ 5
  • Brad Cooper19%▼ 2
  • Kevin Hassett19%▲ 1
  • Dan Caine19%▼ 4
  • Linda McMahon18%▼ 2
  • Sergio Gor18%▼ 7
  • Peter Navarro17%▼ 2
  • Brooke Rollins16%▼ 1
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.15%▼ 1
  • Chris Wright14%
  • Doug Burgum14%
  • Marco Rubio14%▼ 2
  • John Ratcliffe14%▼ 1
  • Jamieson Greer13%▲ 1
  • Steve Witkoff13%▼ 5
  • Bill Pulte13%▼ 1
  • Kelly Loeffler13%▼ 6
  • Joe Gebbia13%▲ 2
  • Mehmet Oz12%▼ 2
  • Scott Turner12%▲ 1
  • Tom Homan12%▼ 1
  • Mike Waltz11%▼ 7
  • Todd Blanche11%▼ 6
  • Rodney Scott10%▼ 1
  • Mike Huckabee10%▼ 1
  • Sean Duffy10%▼ 1
  • Scott Bessent8%
  • Lee Zeldin8%
  • Russell Vought8%
  • Tilman Fertitta7%▲ 1
  • Brendan Carr5%

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

99%Susie Wiles
  • Susie Wiles99%▲ 75
  • None before 2027<1%▼ 17
  • J.D. Vance<1%▼ 1
18 more
  • Marco Rubio<1%▼ 17
  • Scott Bessent<1%▼ 2
  • Pete Hegseth<1%▼ 33
  • Doug Burgum<1%▼ 2
  • Brooke Rollins<1%▼ 1
  • Howard Lutnick<1%▼ 2
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%▼ 3
  • Scott Turner<1%
  • Sean Duffy<1%
  • Chris Wright<1%▼ 1
  • Linda McMahon<1%
  • Doug Collins<1%
  • Lee Zeldin<1%▼ 1
  • Russell T. Vought<1%
  • John Ratcliffe<1%
  • Jamieson Greer<1%▼ 1
  • Mike Waltz<1%▼ 2
  • Kelly Loeffler<1%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions