The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Above $1M
98%
▲ 1
96¢
99¢
$1.01
1.2K
Above $5M
83%
▲ 1
79¢
86¢
$1.16
946
Above $10M
35%
▲ 1
31¢
38¢
$2.63
318
Above $50M
20%
16¢
23¢
$4.35
214
Above $100M
18%
▼ 1
14¢
21¢
$4.76
6.9K
Above $500M
7%
3¢
10¢
$10.00
1.00
Above $1B
6%
2¢
9¢
$11.11
3.2K
Above $2B
5%
2¢
8¢
$12.50
2.8K
Above $4B
5%
2¢
7¢
$14.29
2.7K
Above $6B
4%
1¢
6¢
$16.67
2.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: gold prices, gold, FY2026 Commerce Department
Why gold prices are surprisingly lowNPR · 4 days agoScammers can even make money off of people starved for FAN fiction. That's my takeaway from a fake website popping up that tried to sell computer-generated audiobooks of fan fiction, which is content created by ANYONE based off of existing…
Baseball star awarded gold card台北時報 · 3 days agoPresident William Lai (賴清德) yesterday awarded Taiwanese-American baseball player Stuart Fairchild an Employment Gold Card in recognition of his efforts for Taiwan during the World Baseball Classic. The Employment Gold Card combines an open…
Lai presents baseball star Fairchild with Gold Card台北時報 · 4 days agoPresident William Lai (賴清德) today awarded Taiwanese-American baseball player Stuart Fairchild an Employment Gold Card in recognition of his efforts for Taiwan during the World Baseball Classic. The Employment Gold Card combines an open…
200,000 Points Could Be Yours! Amex Business Gold Card ReviewTravelUpdate · 4 days agoThe American Express Business Gold Card is built for businesses that spend heavily in a few predictable categories but do not necessarily need the lounge access and premium travel perks of the Business Platinum Card. The card currently…
Gold prices fallbusiness · 4 days agoSaigon Gold Jewelry Company gold bar price fell 1.05% to VND141 million (US$5,506.20) per tael, but is still up 1.44% so far this week. Gold ring price declined by 1.27% to VND140.5 million per tael. A tael equals 37.5 grams or 1.2 ounces…
Rise In Gold Prices Dampens Dhanteras Salesdeccanchronicle.com · 3 days agoHYDERABAD: The sharp rise in gold prices has dampened Dhanteras sales in Hyderabad, with customers cutting down on purchases and some turning to gold coins and silver as alternatives. Jewellery showroom managers said footfall had declined…
Gold prices plunge by Rs6,500 per tola in PakistanDunya News · 4 days agoSummary Gold prices in Pakistan fell by Rs6,500 per tola to Rs429,136, while international rates dropped $65 to $4,066 per ounce after a two-day rally. KARACHI (Dunya News) – Gold prices witnessed a significant decline in local and…
Gold price slips following strong US nonfarm payroll printMining.com.au · 3 days agoGold slipped on Friday, ending a two-day rally post US midterm elections, as strong US employment data reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates further. Spot gold dropped more than 1.2% to around US$4,030…
Gold price drops by Tk 2,741 per BhoriThe Financial Express · 4 days agoGold prices have been reduced in the domestic market in line with international trends. The Bangladesh Jewellers’ Association (BAJUS) has cut the price of the best-quality 22-carat gold by Tk 2,741 per Bhori within 24 hours, bringing the…
B2Gold Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates on Strong Gold PricesTradingView · 3 days agoB2Gold Corp. BTG reported adjusted earnings of 14 cents per share for the third quarter of 2026, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 9 cents. The bottom line has been unchanged from the year-ago quarter. Including one-time items, the…
Gold price outlook: World Gold Council sees signs of an interim bottomBusinessLine · 4 days agoInteractive reads from the businessline desk Gold prices may be approaching an interim bottom, with the broader macroeconomic environment favouring a recovery despite the recent correction, the World Gold Council (WGC) said in its latest…
India Gold price today: Gold falls, according to FXStreet dataFXStreet · 4 days agoGold prices fell in India on Friday, according to data compiled by FXStreet. The price for Gold stood at 12,272.80 Indian Rupees (INR) per gram, down compared with the INR 12,437.96 it cost on Thursday. The price for Gold decreased to INR…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions