Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Sep 18, 2026
2%
$50.00
51.9K
Before Oct 1, 2026
1%
$100.00
52.1K
Before Nov 1, 2026
1%
▲ 1
$100.00
83.3K
Before Dec 1, 2026
3%
▼ 1
2¢
4¢
$25.00
80.8K
Before Jan 1, 2027
14%
▼ 2
12¢
15¢
$6.67
579.7K
Before Apr 1, 2027
36%
35¢
37¢
$2.70
6.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Inflation remains too high, Fed chair Kevin Warsh says after rate decision@firstpost · 12 days agoUS Fed keeps interest rates unchanged as inflation remains above target, with Kevin Warsh citing geopolitical uncertainty and the need for more economic data. US Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh has reiterated the central bank’s…
Kevin Warsh Calmed AI Fears, Then Alphabet's Jaw-Dropper ArrivedSeeking Alpha · 12 days agoAlphabet’s ( GOOGL )jaw-dropper Q3 ER has reintroduced uncertainty into the AI trade, effectively erasing the Fed-induced premium from yesterday’s FOMC meeting and raising new questions about AI ... - The US Fed delivered a policy path…
Kevin Warsh Just Eliminated A Fed Rate Decision. Wall Street Gets Even Less Guidance.The WealthAdvisor · 12 days agoFederal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh is cutting the number of interest rate decisions in 2027 from eight to seven, giving investors fewer opportunities to learn where monetary policy is headed. By 2028, the Fed could make just six rate…
US Fed rate decision tonight: Will Kevin Warsh hold rates or signal another hike?@firstpost · 13 days agoThe Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged after September’s increase, but persistent inflation, elevated borrowing costs and pressure on housing and employment will put Kevin Warsh’s policy outlook under scrutiny…
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh does not see AI growth as necessarily inflationary, says Tom LeeCrypto Briefing · 12 days agoJetSetJeri2 / Wikimedia Commons (CC BY-SA 4.0) Warsh argues the AI spending boom is a demand shock that arrives before its productivity payoff, even with CPI at 3.7% The Federal Reserve chair has a view on artificial intelligence, and it…
Fed rate decision: Kevin Warsh faces pressure to explain pause as US inflation risesHindustan Times · 12 days agoThe US Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates unchanged on Wednesday afternoon.The decision comes just a few days before the US midterm elections. Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh will have to explain why the central…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions