Will Trump abolish the Department of Education?

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Jan 20, 2029 · $20 today · $9.3K traded · $1.5K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

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The odds

6%chance▲ 1

How the odds have moved

Yes: 11% on Oct 20, 6% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Yes	6%	▲ 1	3¢	9¢	$11.76	170.0K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Department of Education

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SUSD schools earn high marks from Arizona Department of Education - Scottsdale IndependentYour Valley · 4 days agoScottsdale Unified School District schools are excelling and getting better, according to the annual report cards of the state’s schools and districts handed out by the Arizona Department of Education. Twenty-four schools in the district…
Urgent Agenda Item: Save the U.S. Department of EducationEvents and Jobs · 5 days agoDemocrats must protect vital Education Department functions when they retake control of Congress in January. November 5, 2026 Nov 5, 2026 Urgent Agenda Item for Democrats: Save the U.S. Department of Education Since that time, McMahon has…
Department of Education opens investigation into UC Berkeley Black, Latine resource centers and scholarshipsDaily Cal | Berkeley news · 4 days agoThe U.S. Department of Education’s Office of Civil Rights has launched another federal investigation into UC Berkeley — this time over three campus resource centers and two external scholarships that allegedly discriminate on the basis of…
Kind boy, 15, murdered by bullies... now NYPD say NYC's woke department of education stonewalled their attempts to investigateDaily Mail · 5 days agoNew York City Police have claimed that the city's department of education (DOE) delayed the investigation into the murder of a bullied teenager. The teen's father, Thomas Frimpong, 60, said that Javits had moved to New York City from Ghana…
OKLAHOMA VOICE: Oklahoma State Department of Education faces discrimination, retaliation lawsuitPauls Valley Democrat · 6 days agoPauls Valley Democrat OKLAHOMA CITY â A former Oklahoma State Board of Education secretary has sued the state, alleging that she suffered age and gender discrimination and retaliation from former state Superintendent Ryan Waltersâ…
Vanderbilt Kennedy Center awarded $19.6 million in Tennessee Department of Education contractsVanderbilt Health News · 5 days agoThe contracts, which focus on Intensive Behavior; Family and School Engagement; and Individualized Education Program Coaching and Support, will allow VKC to continue and expand its statewide work supporting students with disabilities. The…
Nebraska Department of Education awarded nearly $4.9M federal grant to expand, enhance special education teacher apprenticeshipsnorfolkneradio.com · 6 days agoThe Nebraska Department of Education has been awarded a federal grant totaling approximately $4.9 million over five years to expand and strengthen registered apprenticeship pathways for special education teachers across Nebraska. Nebraska…
See early voting results for 6 Harris County, department of education racesCommunity Impact Newspaper · 6 days agoWith unofficial early voting results available, voters are beginning to get a clearer picture of who could hold several countywide offices in Harris County. Aside from positions on the Harris County Commissioners Court, up for grabs are…
Maryland State Department of Education headquarters will move to Baltimore’s landmark One Charles Center office towerBaltimore Fishbowl · 6 days agoBaltimore’s landmark One Charles Center office tower has landed a large new anchor tenant. The 23-story building at 100 N. Charles St. will become the new headquarters of the Maryland State Department of Education (MSDE). Maryland’s Board…
Beyond the Baseline selected for Department for Education’s Wellbeing Registeradelaide36ers.com · 6 days agoThe Adelaide 36ers are proud to announce that Beyond the Baseline has been officially selected for inclusion in the South Australian Department for Education’s External Wellbeing Programs Directory. This curated register recognises…
NYPD Had to Subpoena the Department of Education for Answers in the Killing of 15 Year Old Javits FrimpongBaller Alert · 7 days agoThe NYPD had to subpoena the city’s Department of Education to get information in the killing of Javits Frimpong, the 15 year old Bronx student who was chased down and shot on his way to school last week. NYPD Chief of Detectives Joseph…
Florida Department of Education Breach Exposes Data of 4.9 Million PeopleOODAloop · 7 days agoOODA is comprised of a unique team of international experts capable of providing advanced intelligence and analysis, strategy and planning support, risk and threat management, training, decision support, crisis response, and security…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onUnited States Congress, White House, The New York Times

Trading closesJan 20, 2029 10:00 AM ET

Traded$9.3K (169,988 contracts)

Today$20

At stake$1.5K

In the news3 headlines today, 48 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If the Department of Education is sunsetted or eliminated entirely before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions