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How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/4 - 10/10) (Oct 4, 2026 to Oct 10, 2026)
Settled Between 0.00 and 1.00
The last odds before it closed
- ✓ Above 099%
- Above 11%
- Above 21%
- Above 31%
- Above 41%
How the odds have moved
Above 1: 1% on Oct 20, 1% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Last odds | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Above 0 | 99% | 5.4K | ||||
| ✗ Above 1 | 1% | 21.7K | ||||
| ✗ Above 2 | 1% | 8.5K | ||||
| ✗ Above 3 | 1% | 5.4K | ||||
| ✗ Above 4 | 1% | 6.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Executive Orders
Search ›- FILE PHOTO: U.S. President Donald Trump signs executive orders at the White HouseThe Lufkin Daily News - Two Lufkinites among those arrested in connection with 2022 Lakes Area Pawn Shop burglary - Lufkin council to discuss Gee's future amid workplace concerns - Angelina County grand juries hand up 92 indictments…
- The political playbook that unraveled US transgender rights in the past decadeHB 2 was repealed within the year. Chestnut said he thought at the time: “Oh this is the next phase of protections for trans people.” But instead of the beginning of legal protections for transgender Americans – the past decade has become…
- With ‘wartime consigliere’ Stephen Miller, Trump signals more confrontation, not moderationThe new White House chief of staff is expected to push tougher immigration enforcement, heavier use of executive orders and tighter discipline on Republicans, while taking a larger role on Iran and Israel as Democrats now control Congress
- Trump’s elevation of Stephen Miller a middle finger to millions of votersArchitect of Trump’s far-right immigration agenda is now most powerful unelected figure in government – it suggests White House is moving to a war footing Donald Trump just gave the middle finger to millions of American voters. Any other…
- Trump Calls Midterm Loss a Giant Step BackPresident Donald Trump said on Sunday, 8 November 2026, that America “took a giant step back in History” with the results of the midterm elections, five days after Democrats took control of both chambers of Congress. In a post on his own…
- Google Was Asked a Question About Trump Admin AccomplishmentsQuestion: “accomplishments of the trump administration so far.” Immigration and Border Security Administration officials cite significant drops in border crossings and unauthorized entries, while immigrant advocates and watchdogs have…
- ICYMI: AG Todd Blanche Dismantles Democrats’ “Oversight” Charade on the Sunday ShowsThis morning, Attorney General Todd Blanche appeared on the Sunday shows and made clear that the Department of Justice will fulfill its constitutional duty to represent the Executive Branch — and that Democrats’ explicit threats of endless…
- Jennifer O'Connell: Silicon Valley’s tech bros bet everything on Trump. What will they do now?Spare a thought this week for Silicon Valley’s broligarchy – the tech titans who prostrated themselves so low before Donald Trump in the aftermath of the 2024 election that they’ll be seeing a chiropractor for years. In the coming weeks…
- Victor Davis Hanson Weighs in on President Trump’s Options on Policy Without Congress (VIDEO)Historian and senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, Victor Davis Hanson, was on Newsmax‘s Bianca Across the Nation with host Bianca de la Garza to discuss President Trump’s options now that he does not have a majority in Congress…
- Executive orders reset the baseline, Congress fills the docket, and the world invests in watching the ocean.From late August to mid-October, the White House kept reshaping federal environmental policy by executive order. Congress answered with a run of bipartisan bills, and governments abroad put new money and signatures behind ocean science and…
- Virginia voters axed a Jim Crow law barring felons from ever voting. Hurray! Several other states need to reform their own disenfranchisement laws.From Jacobin to The Bulwark, from The Lever to Politico, from The New York Times to The Guardian and from what seems like half the world’s politically focused Substacks, Tuesday’s wondrous victory at the polls has generated a mountain of…
- Texas considers moratorium on new data centers amid grid frequency concernsEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
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All trump administration ›How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (11/8 - 11/14) (Nov 8, 2026 to Nov 14, 2026)
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?
- Pete Hegseth36%▼ 6
- Will Scharf30%▼ 11
- Amy Gleason28%▼ 6
37 more
- Stanley Woodward28%▼ 6
- Trent McCotter28%▼ 10
- Christopher Landau26%▼ 1
- Howard Lutnick25%▲ 5
- Kash Patel22%▼ 2
- Doug Collins21%▲ 1
- Dan Caine20%▼ 2
- Brad Cooper19%▼ 2
- Kevin Hassett19%▲ 2
- Linda McMahon18%▼ 2
- Steven Cheung18%▼ 16
- Peter Navarro17%▼ 1
- Sergio Gor17%▼ 8
- Brooke Rollins16%▼ 1
- Marco Rubio14%▼ 2
- Chris Wright14%
- Doug Burgum14%
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.14%▼ 3
- John Ratcliffe14%
- Bill Pulte13%▼ 1
- Scott Turner13%▲ 1
- Kelly Loeffler13%▼ 6
- Joe Gebbia13%▲ 2
- Jamieson Greer12%▲ 1
- Steve Witkoff12%▼ 6
- Mehmet Oz12%▼ 2
- Tom Homan11%
- Mike Huckabee11%▼ 1
- Todd Blanche11%▼ 6
- Rodney Scott10%
- Sean Duffy10%▼ 1
- Mike Waltz10%▼ 8
- Russell Vought8%
- Lee Zeldin8%▲ 1
- Scott Bessent8%
- Tilman Fertitta7%
- Brendan Carr5%▼ 2
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
- Susie Wiles99%▲ 75
- None before 2027<1%▼ 17
- J.D. Vance<1%▼ 1
18 more
- Marco Rubio<1%▼ 17
- Scott Bessent<1%▼ 2
- Pete Hegseth<1%▼ 33
- Doug Burgum<1%▼ 2
- Brooke Rollins<1%▼ 1
- Howard Lutnick<1%▼ 2
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%▼ 3
- Scott Turner<1%
- Sean Duffy<1%
- Chris Wright<1%▼ 1
- Linda McMahon<1%
- Doug Collins<1%
- Lee Zeldin<1%▼ 1
- Russell T. Vought<1%
- John Ratcliffe<1%
- Jamieson Greer<1%▼ 1
- Mike Waltz<1%▼ 2
- Kelly Loeffler<1%▼ 1
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions