Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Mar 1, 2027
40%
▲ 1
36¢
44¢
$2.27
96.00
Before Apr 1, 2027
56%
▲ 1
51¢
60¢
$1.67
Before Jul 1, 2027
81%
▲ 1
76¢
85¢
$1.18
Before Jan 1, 2028
95%
▲ 1
90¢
99¢
$1.01
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Trump prepares for a fight with Congress, assembling more combative White HouseCBS News · 24 h agoLawmakers are returning to Washington, D.C., to a stunning new political reality, and President Trump is vowing to fight back against the new Congress after the midterm blowout. He spoke with 60 Minutes correspondent Ross Douthat and…
Congress is back after GOP's midterm defeat. And, Trump appoints new chief of staffNPR · 13 h agoRepublicans have just weeks left of control of Congress. Here's what to expect. And, Trump has appointed Stephen Miller as his new chief of staff, signaling his readiness to confront his opposition. Congress is back after GOP's midterm…
Week in politics: Democrats plan for the next Congress, Trump's new Chief of StaffNPR · 45 h agoDemocrats plans for the next Congress, where they'll hold significant majorities in both chambers. Meanwhile, President Trump signals his plans by promoting Stephen Miller as his new Chief of Staff. Week in politics: Democrats plan for the…
How Trump can navigate the rest of his term with a Democratic CongressWashington Examiner · 3 days agoWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
The Odds: Another Trump Impeachmentcnn.com · 11 h agoCNN News Central's John Berman and Chief Data Analyst Harry Enten examine what polling and prediction markets reveal about the likelihood of another Trump impeachment effort once Democrats take control of Congress in January. The Odds…
Russia and Ukraine Keep Ignoring Donald TrumpNewsweek · 4 h agoNov 09, 2026 at 12:27 PM EST Russia and Ukraine traded strikes on each other's energy infrastructure into Monday, targeting sites President Donald Trump had decreed last month—without Kyiv and Moscow's agreement—to be off limits. The…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions