Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Nov 1, 2026
1%
▼ 2
$100.00
1.8K
Before Jan 1, 2027
8%
6¢
9¢
$11.11
3.2K
Before Apr 1, 2027
19%
14¢
23¢
$4.35
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Susie Wiles’s exit adds to list of women leaving top roles in Trump administrationThe Washington Post · 2 days agoThe departure this week of Susie Wiles as President Donald Trump’s chief of staff adds to the growing list of women who have left their high-ranking positions in the administration and been replaced by men. Trump said Friday that he was…
Donald Trump Teases More Firings, Defends Pete HegsethNewsweek · 2 days agoNov 07, 2026 at 06:09 AM EST President Donald Trump said Friday that he may make “a few changes” to his administration after Republicans’ midterm defeat, while expressing confidence in Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. The president has…
Susie Wiles exits White House as Trump ousts another woman from key rolethe Guardian · 3 days agoWiles thanks president for ‘honor of a lifetime’ as departure leaves behind overwhelmingly male leadership team Donald Trump on Friday said Susie Wiles, the first woman to serve as White House chief of staff, will leave her post, a major…
Here are the midterm races to watch that are still too close to callThe Washington Post · 2 days agoWe are four days past Election Day, and while we know that Democrats will hold the majority in both chambers, there are still several races yet to be called that will determine the official voting margins. Here are some contests to look…
US intelligence sharing fractured under Trump, officials sayOmaha World-Herald · 38 h agoThe U.S. carried out strikes on Iran's Qeshm Island in the Strait of Hormuz around midnight local time, the night before polls opened for midterm elections. U.S. President Donald Trump had said strikes would not resume during the midterm…
Susie Wiles’s Exit Adds to List of Women Leaving TrumpPolitical Wire · 2 days agoJust dropped · Trial Balloon · Ep. 194 “The departure this week of Susie Wiles as President Donald Trump’s chief of staff adds to the growing list of women who have left their high-ranking positions in the administration and been replaced…
NARASIMHAN: The Trump administration is running out of womenThe Vanderbilt Hustler · 3 days agoWhat does it take to lose your job in the Trump administration? Lately, the answer seems to depend more on what you look like than what you have done. Just today, Trump revealed that Deputy Chief of Staff Stephen Miller will replace Susie…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions