Georgia Senate: which counties will Jon Ossoff win? (2026)
99%Spalding
- Spalding99%
- Peach98%
- Houston98%
3 more
- Burke96%
- Lowndes93%
- Fayette90%
Install
California Governor: which counties will Steve Hilton win? (2026)
The odds
3%Riverside
- Riverside3%
- Fresno3%▼ 1
- San Joaquin2%
- San Bernardino1%▼ 1
- San Luis Obispo1%
- Orange1%
How the odds have moved
Riverside: 41% on Oct 20, 3% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 4, 11 PM ETRiverside: 30% → 2%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Oct 31, 11 PM ETRiverside: 54% → 48%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riverside | 3% | 6¢ | $16.67 | 5.5K | ||
| Fresno | 3% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 4¢ | $25.00 | 14.5K |
| San Joaquin | 2% | 4¢ | $25.00 | 7.7K | ||
| San Bernardino | 1% | ▼ 1 | 2¢ | $50.00 | 9.0K | |
| San Luis Obispo | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 9.6K | ||
| Orange | 1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 17.6K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: California Governor, Steve Hilton, San Joaquin
Search ›- New poll shows gap stretching in California governor race — with just two weeks to goXavier Becerra has stretched his lead over Steve Hilton in the California governor’s race, according to a new poll. The Emerson College survey of 1,000 likely voters, conducted Oct. 17-19, shows the Democrat at 60% support compared to 33%…
- Steve Hilton makes his pitch to replace Gavin Newsom as California's governorKTVU Republican Steve Hilton and Democrat Xavier Becerra go head to head in the California governor's race to replace Gavin Newsom. Hilton sat down for an interview to talk about how he plans to help Californians save money.
- Becerra, Hilton campaign for California governor in Bay Area 2 weeks out from Election DayCBS News Becerra, Hilton campaign for California governor in Bay Area 2 weeks out from Election Day Tuesday evening First Alert weather forecast - 10/20/26 Oakland considers raising nuisance property fines to $10,000 a day San Mateo County…
- Here's where CA governor candidates Steve Hilton, Xavier Becerra stand on homelessnessSAN FRANCISCO (KGO) -- Republican gubernatorial candidate Steve Hilton is making an ambitious promise to California voters on one of the states most visible issues. Within his first year in office, Hilton says he can effectively end mass…
- Steve Hilton demands laptop evidence over claims Xavier Becerra knew kids went to traffickersSteve Hilton is demanding federal officials turn over records — including a former federal contractor’s laptop — that he claims could expose what Xavier Becerra knew about migrant children being handed to traffickers during the Biden…
- Election 2026: Here's where California gubernatorial candidates Steve Hilton and Xavier Becerra stand on housing and homelessnessABC7 Los Angeles Here's where CA governor candidates Steve Hilton, Xavier Becerra stand on homelessness Becerra says prevention is key Program funding remains divided issue
- Steve Hilton on His Family’s Escape From Hungary, His Path to Silicon Valley, and Why He’s Running for GovernorWhat does it mean to be the son of refugees who fled communism, and how does that shape the way you see California? Steve Hilton grew up in London, the son... Steve Hilton on His Family’s Escape From Hungary, His Path to Silicon Valley…
- Steve Hilton to Newsmax: Make California 'Too Big to Rig'By Sam Barron | Tuesday, 20 October 2026 10:26 PM EDT Steve Hilton, the Republican nominee for California governor, told Newsmax on Tuesday that the best way to overcome what he called the state's corrupt election system is to turn out so…
- Becerra Dominates Hilton in Recent Poll for California Governor RaceDemocrat Xavier Becerra beats Steve Hilton by 27 points as governor race rapidly approaches • 8 hours ago 60% of the voters polled are leaning toward Becerra while 33% will vote for Hilton. Seven percent are undecided. When undecided…
- New poll shows Becerra with wide lead over Hilton in California governor raceWith less than two weeks before the election, Democrat Xavier Becerra has a commanding double-digit lead over Republican Steve Hilton in the race to become California’s 41st governor, according to a new Inside California Politics/Emerson…
- Will candidates for California governor fix deadly addiction treatment system?Over the nearly eight years of his term, Gov. Gavin Newsom has been too busy to engage with us on the fraud, abuse and death rife in California’s private-pay addiction treatment industry. He could have transformed it with a wave of his…
- San Joaquin County reports 40% drop in unhoused populationSan Joaquin County’s latest Point-in-Time Count shows a 47% decrease in unsheltered individuals and a 16% increase in sheltered residents since 2024, reflecting significant progress in addressing homelessness The unhoused population is…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions