Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Nov 4, 11 PM ETSpalding: 41% → 97%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Spalding
99%
36¢
99¢
$1.01
1.3K
Peach
98%
8¢
$1.02
1.8K
Houston
98%
45¢
$1.02
2.4K
Burke
96%
2¢
$1.04
343
Lowndes
93%
34¢
$1.08
540
Fayette
90%
1¢
$1.11
41.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Full speech: Jon Ossoff projected winner in Georgia Senate raceNBC News · 6 days agoNBC News Troy Jackson wins Maine Senate seat, NBC News projects President Trump speaks to various media outlets reacting to midterm results Full speech: James Talarico projected winner in Texas Senate race Rep. Debbie Dingell: If Democrats…
Democrat Jon Ossoff projected to hold key Georgia Senate seatBBC · 6 days agoLess than one hour after polls closed in Georgia, Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff is projected to hold the key Georgia Senate seat. His victory was not unexpected - Ossoff had a comfortable lead in the polls over his Republican challenger…
Why Republicans should fear Georgia Democrat Jon OssoffNew York Post · 3 days agoRepublicans have a lot of things to worry about after their catastrophic 2026 midterm, and one of them might be Jon Ossoff, the newly reelected Democratic senator from Georgia. The presidential buzz had begun even before Ossoff won…
Jon Ossoff wins Georgia Senate race over Republican Mike Collinsthe Guardian · 6 days agoRising Democratic star made his re-election campaign a referendum on the Trump administration’s misdeeds US midterm elections – live updates Track live results from all 50 states Jon Ossoff has been re-elected to the Senate in Georgia…
Jon Ossoff projected to easily win reelection in Georgia Senate raceCBS News · 6 days agoCBS News: America Decides: Election 2026 CBS News Bay Area: Voters Decide CBS News Chicago: Voters Decide CBS News Colorado: Voters Decide CBS News Detroit: Voters Decide CBS News Los Angeles: Voters Decide CBS News Minnesota: Voters…
Jon Ossoff re-elected to Senate in Georgia, defeating Mike Collins - videothe Guardian · 6 days agoJon Ossoff, a rising star in the Democratic party who has been cited as a potential presidential contender in 2028, has been re-elected to the Senate in Georgia, defeating Mike Collins, his Republican challengerJon Ossoff wins Georgia…
WATCH LIVE: Sen. Jon Ossoff hosts Election Night watch party in AtlantaFox News · 6 days agoFox News WATCH LIVE: Sen. Jon Ossoff hosts Election Night watch party in Atlanta Democratic Senator Jon Ossoff gathers with supporters at his downtown Atlanta headquarters as Georgia Senate returns roll in.
Jon Ossoff showed Democrats how to channel voter anger about corruption and corporationsThe Washington Post · 5 days agoThe Washington Post Georgia Sen. Jon Ossoff came into his re-election contest judged the most vulnerable incumbent in the Senate, the only Democratic senator running in a state Trump won two years ago. On election night, Ossoff was the…
Jon Ossoff wins Georgia 2026 Senate election, CBS News projectsCBS News · 6 days agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. Washington â…
Jon Ossoff wins reelection in Georgia, easily defeating Republican Mike CollinsNPR · 6 days agoSen. Jon Ossoff, D-Ga., speaks during a campaign event on Oct. 31, 2026, in Atlanta. Ryan Murphy/AP hide caption Midterms coverage: Live results | What to know | Stories around the countryStay connected: NPR Politics Podcast | NPR Politics…
Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff cruises to re-election in GeorgiaNBC News · 6 days agoBREAKING: Democratic Sen. Jon Ossoff wins a second term in Georgia, NBC News projects Ossoff’s win is a major hold for Democrats in one of the most closely divided battleground states in the country — and one that both sides saw as…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions