Georgia Senate: which counties will Jon Ossoff win? (2026)
99%Spalding
- Spalding99%
- Peach98%
- Houston98%
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Install
Michigan Senate: which counties will Abdul El-Sayed win? (2026)
The odds
100%Saginaw
- Saginaw100%
- Oakland100%
- Muskegon99%
- Kent99%
- Genesee99%
- Eaton99%
- Grand Traverse97%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Saginaw: 49% on Oct 20, 100% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 7, 10 PM ETSaginaw: 88% → 100%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Nov 3, 11 PM ETSaginaw: 47% → 75%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
- Oct 26, 9 PM ETSaginaw: 60% → 48%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saginaw | 100% | 99¢ | 5.3K | |||
| Oakland | 100% | 99¢ | 11.6K | |||
| Muskegon | 99% | 60¢ | $1.01 | 3.3K | ||
| Kent | 99% | 98¢ | $1.01 | 9.6K | ||
| Genesee | 99% | 71¢ | $1.01 | 9.6K | ||
| Eaton | 99% | 97¢ | $1.02 | 4.4K | ||
| Grand Traverse | 97% | ▼ 1 | 94¢ | $1.03 | 6.7K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Michigan Senate, Abdul El-Sayed
Search ›- Abdul El-Sayed says Michigan is 'Arab America'Senator-elect Abdul El-Sayed makes the claim during remarks in Washington, D.C., pointing to Michigan’s large Arab American population. Abdul El-Sayed says Michigan is 'Arab America' Senator-elect Abdul El-Sayed makes the claim during…
- Laura: Abdul El-Sayed is obsessed with 1 manFox News Laura: Abdul El-Sayed is obsessed with 1 man Fox News host Laura Ingraham assesses the Democratic Party’s political strategy following its sweeping midterm victories on ‘The Ingraham Angle.’
- 'The View' gushes over Abdul El-SayedFox News 'The View' gushes over Abdul El-Sayed 'Fox & Friends' reports on 'The View' co-hosts' praise of Michigan Democratic Senator-elect Abdul El-Sayed and Vogue's commentary on what it calls a new generation of 'handsome' politicians.
- Abdul El-Sayed is a 'con man,' Dem strategist Julian Epstein saysDemocratic strategist Julian Epstein called Senator-elect Abdul El-Sayed a "con man" and condemned establishment Democrats for rallying behind him in an interview with Fox News Digital. Abdul El-Sayed is a 'con man,' Dem strategist Julian…
- WATCH LIVE: Senator-elect Abdul El-Sayed speaks at Arab American leadership summitFox News WATCH LIVE: Senator-elect Abdul El-Sayed speaks at Arab American leadership summit Michigan Senator-elect Abdul El-Sayed delivers remarks on Arab American leadership and civic engagement at the national CONNECT Summit in…
- Democrat Abdul El-Sayed defeats Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan Senate raceNPR Democrat Abdul El-Sayed defeats Republican Mike Rogers in Michigan Senate race Democrat Abdul El-Sayed won the U.S. Senate election in Michigan. Longtime NPR political correspondent Don Gonyea talks about the results in his home state.
- National Bobblehead Hall of Fame and Museum unveils Abdul El-Sayed bobbleheadNovember 6, 2026 / 12:18 PM EST / CBS Detroit U.S. Senator-elect Abdul El-Sayed has landed the honor of a bobblehead figure in his likeness. The National Bobblehead Hall of Fame and Museum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, unveiled the design on…
- Where Abdul el Sayed should start his fight on genocideWashington Examiner In his victory speech at his campaign headquarters in Detroit, Sen.-elect Abdul el Sayed (D-MI) declared, “We don’t want our money sent to do apartheid, or genocide, or war.” El Sayed might have wanted to throw shade at…
- How Abdul El-Sayed swung young men from Trump by 55 points in MichiganNBC News Abdul El-Sayed huddled with key advisers in August to game plan what would become a huge moment in his Senate campaign: a primetime interview with Fox News’ Jesse Watters.
- Abdul El-Sayed taps ex-Kamala Harris aide who once accused Zionists of ‘controlling’ US politics to lead transition teamAbdul El-Sayed has tapped a former Kamala Harris campaign aide who once claimed Zionists were “controlling” American politics to help lead his transition following his stunning Michigan Senate victory. Brenda Abdelall, an Egyptian-American…
- Jewish leaders in Michigan prepare to work with Abdul El-Sayed despite lingering concernsSteven Ingber discusses the diversity of the Jewish vote, the importance of working with elected officials from both parties and why Israel should not define American elections. Senator-elect Abdul El-Sayed's victory in Michigan has drawn…
- Dearborn, Michigan, mayor on city's record turnout and the election of Abdul El-SayedNPR Dearborn, Michigan, mayor on city's record turnout and the election of Abdul El-Sayed NPR host Leila Fadel speaks with Abdullah Hammoud, the mayor of Dearborn, Michigan, about why his city turned out in record numbers to elect Abdul…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions