Georgia Senate: which counties will Jon Ossoff win? (2026)
99%Spalding
- Spalding99%
- Peach98%
- Houston98%
3 more
- Burke96%
- Lowndes93%
- Fayette90%
Install
Florida Governor: which counties will Byron Donalds win? (2026)
The odds
91%Sarasota
- Sarasota91%
- Duval4%▲ 2
- St. Lucie1%
- Hillsborough1%
- Pinellas1%
- Seminole1%
- Miami-Dade<1%
- Osceola<1%
- Palm Beach<1%
How the odds have moved
Sarasota: 90% on Oct 21, 91% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Nov 3, 11 PM ETSarasota: 85% → 98%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarasota | 91% | 91¢ | $1.10 | 3.7K | ||
| Duval | 4% | ▲ 2 | 8¢ | $12.50 | 3.5K | |
| St. Lucie | 1% | 3¢ | $33.33 | 9.6K | ||
| Hillsborough | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 8.3K | ||
| Pinellas | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 7.3K | ||
| Seminole | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 6.4K | ||
| Miami-Dade | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 11.5K | ||
| Osceola | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 6.4K | ||
| Palm Beach | <1% | 1¢ | $100.00 | 7.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Florida Governor, Byron Donalds, St. Lucie
Search ›- Rep. Byron Donalds wins Florida governor's race, NBC News projectsRepublican Rep. Byron Donalds has defeated Democrat David Jolly in the race for Florida governor, NBC News projects. NBC News’ Kristen Welker and Ryan Nobles analyze the narrow result and Democrats' lack of investment in the state…
- GOP nominee Byron Donalds projected to win Florida governor's raceA ‘FOX News Democracy 26’ panel discusses GOP nominee Byron Donalds’ projected victory in Florida’s gubernatorial race to succeed Gov. Ron DeSantis. GOP nominee Byron Donalds projected to win Florida governor's race A ‘FOX News Democracy…
- Byron Donalds makes Election Day push as Florida governor's race heats upFlorida gubernatorial candidate Byron Donalds discusses Election Day turnout, flooding concerns and his plans to address housing costs and insurance premiums as he faces Democrat David Jolly. Byron Donalds makes Election Day push as…
- Byron Donalds wins Florida governor's race, set to become first Black Republican governor in U.S. historyUpdated on: November 3, 2026 / 9:24 PM EST / CBS Miami Republican U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds has defeated Democrat David Jolly in Florida's gubernatorial election, and is set to become the first Black governor in the state's history, CBS News…
- GOP Rep. Byron Donalds wins Florida governor’s race, becoming the state’s first Black leaderRepublican Rep. Byron Donalds defeated Democrat David Jolly to become Florida’s next governor, NBC News projects, extending the GOP’s nearly three-decade run in the Governor’s Mansion. Donalds, who was endorsed early by President Donald…
- Republican Byron Donalds is elected Florida's first Black governorRepublican Byron Donalds wins Florida governor's race The Washington Post Republican Byron Donalds has been elected Florida’s first Black governor Republican Rep. Byron Donalds was elected Florida’s first Black governor on Tuesday…
- BREAKING: Byron Donalds wins Florida governor raceFounded in 2017, The Post Millennial has become one of the fastest growing news organizations and one of the largest conservative news outlets in the world. Donalds will replace current Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. Republican candidate…
- Byron Donalds wins Florida governor raceFOX 35 Orlando Byron Donalds wins the race for Florida governor against David Jolly. Political analysts talk about what this win will mean for Donalds and Floridians.
- Byron Donalds Bucks Trend, Wins Florida Governor RaceRepublican Byron Donalds won the Florida governor's race, defying a national trend that saw his party struggle in several key contests. The win gives Donalds a major statewide victory and positions him to lead the state as it navigates…
- Byron Donalds will be Florida's next governorVideo: Byron Donalds will be Florida’s next governor CNN Byron Donalds will be Florida’s next governor Byron Donalds will be Florida's next governor, CNN projects. He'll make history as the state's first Black chief executive. Follow live…
- Byron Donalds wins Florida governor race against David JollyNews4JAX Byron Donalds wins Florida governor race against David Jolly Republican Byron Donalds defeated Democrat David Jolly in a closely watched race to succeed term-limited Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, with sharp differences over data…
- Byron Donalds makes history as Florida elects its first Black governor in state's 180 yearsUpdated on: November 3, 2026 / 11:16 PM EST / CBS Miami Republican U.S. Rep. Byron Donalds has been elected Florida's first Black governor, defeating Democrat David Jolly in the Nov. 3 general election, CBS News projects. Donalds, a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions