Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Nov 4, 11 PM ETSchenectady: 4% → 99%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Schenectady
99%
▼ 1
98¢
99¢
$1.01
2.6K
Dutchess
98%
▼ 1
5¢
$1.02
4.8K
Rensselaer
98%
61¢
98¢
$1.02
7.7K
Saratoga
96%
▲ 1
92¢
$1.04
4.6K
Nassau
92%
▲ 2
91¢
92¢
$1.09
12.4K
Warren
25%
96¢
$1.04
693
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Kathy Hochul and Bruce Blakeman remain locked in competitive race for New York governorCBS News · 7 days agoUpdated on: November 3, 2026 / 6:34 AM EST / CBS New York A Democratic governor has occupied New York's Executive Mansion in Albany for nearly two decades. Republican Bruce Blakeman is looking to change that, but polls suggest he still has…
Race for New York governor comes down to the wireCBS News · 7 days agoCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change Race for New York governor comes down to the wire First Alert Weather: 2 more days of sun and then some rain Very special gift…
John Rich slams Kathy Hochul over farmland dispute: ‘Why do you hate these people?’Fox News · 7 days agoFox News John Rich slams Kathy Hochul over farmland dispute: ‘Why do you hate these people?’ Country singer John Rich accused the New York governor of helping redefine prime farmland and creating a “chokeout” for farmers through ORES.
Voters decide: New York governor's race and midterm elections | Team coverageCBS News · 6 days agoCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change Voters decide: New York governor's race and midterm elections | Team coverage Balance of power at stake in midterm elections…
Live results: Bruce Blakeman faces Kathy Hochul in New York governor raceNewsNation · 7 days ago(NewsNation) — Republican Bruce Blakeman races against current Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul in the New York governor general election. Hochul has served as governor of New York since 2021 and is now running for reelection. Having…
John Rich says Kathy Hochul is ‘running over’ NY farmers with renewable energy agendaFox News · 6 days agoCountry singer John Rich accused the New York governor of helping redefine prime farmland and creating a "chokeout" for farmers through ORES. John Rich is blasting New York Gov. Kathy Hochul over the state’s renewable energy policies…
Voters decide: New York governor's race seizes Election Day spotlight | Team coverageCBS News · 6 days agoCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change Voters decide: New York governor's race seizes Election Day spotlight | Team coverage Powerball jackpot reaches $835 million…
Hochul, Blakeman make final campaign push in New York governor's raceCBS News · 7 days agoNovember 2, 2026 / 12:39 PM EST / CBS New York New York Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican challenger Bruce Blakeman are making their last pleas to voters Monday, just ahead of the midterm elections. The two are going where the voters are as…
Kathy Hochul Blames ‘Glitch’ for Polling Machines Issue in Westchester, NYNewsweek · 6 days agoNov 03, 2026 at 02:50 PM EST Nov 03, 2026 at 07:00 PM EST New York Democratic Governor Kathy Hochul assured residents in Westchester County that their votes would be counted on Tuesday after ballot scanners experienced problems accepting…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions