Predictions › Elections › Senate How many Republican-favored Senate races will Republicans win? (at the November 3, 2026 general election) Kalshi Elections › SenateCloses Dec 15 · $50.1K traded · $39.3K at stake · prices read 22 min ago
Follow Share Embed % US Dec
10 14
Median 12.5 Middle half 12.3 – 12.8
Median: 12.0 on Nov 5, 12.5 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Republican-favored Senate Search › No recent headlines name this market's subject.
125 more AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX <1% AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, ME, MI <1% AK, IA, KS, ME, OH <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, ME, TX <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, MI, OH <1% AK, IA, KS, MI, TX <1% AK, IA, KS, OH, TX <1% ▼ 2 AK, IA, ME, MI, OH <1% AK, IA, ME, MI, TX <1% AK, IA, ME, OH, TX <1% AK, IA, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, KS, ME, MI, OH <1% AK, KS, ME, MI, TX <1% AK, KS, ME, OH, TX <1% AK, KS, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% IA, KS, ME, MI, OH <1% IA, KS, ME, MI, TX <1% IA, KS, ME, OH, TX <1% IA, KS, MI, OH, TX <1% IA, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% KS, ME, MI, OH, TX <1% AK, IA, KS, ME <1% ▼ 1 AK, IA, KS, MI <1% AK, IA, KS, OH <1% AK, IA, KS, TX <1% ▼ 3 AK, IA, ME, MI <1% AK, IA, ME, OH <1% AK, IA, ME, TX <1% AK, IA, MI, OH <1% AK, IA, MI, TX <1% AK, IA, OH, TX <1% AK, KS, ME, MI <1% AK, KS, ME, OH <1% AK, KS, ME, TX <1% AK, KS, MI, OH <1% AK, KS, MI, TX <1% AK, KS, OH, TX <1% AK, ME, MI, OH <1% AK, ME, MI, TX <1% AK, ME, OH, TX <1% AK, MI, OH, TX <1% IA, KS, ME, MI <1% IA, KS, ME, OH <1% IA, KS, ME, TX <1% IA, KS, MI, OH <1% IA, KS, MI, TX <1% IA, KS, OH, TX <1% IA, ME, MI, OH <1% IA, ME, MI, TX <1% IA, ME, OH, TX <1% IA, MI, OH, TX <1% KS, ME, MI, OH <1% KS, ME, MI, TX <1% Democratic party 98% ▲ 1 Republican party 2% ▼ 1 Chuck Schumer 88% ▼ 3 Chris Van Hollen 10% ▲ 3 Brian Schatz 1% ▼ 1 10 more Chris Murphy 1% Mark Warner <1% Cory Booker <1% Raphael Warnock <1% Amy Klobuchar <1% Patty Murray <1% Tammy Baldwin <1% Jon Ossoff <1% ▼ 1 Ruben Gallego <1% Jacky Rosen <1% Chuck Schumer 89% ▼ 4 Chris Van Hollen 10% ▲ 5 Brian Schatz 1% ▼ 1 8 more John Thune <1% John Barrasso <1% Steve Daines <1% Tom Cotton <1% Amy Klobuchar <1% Patty Murray <1% Cory Booker <1% Mark Kelly <1% Mary Peltola 99% Sen. Dan Sullivan 1% Ann Diener <1% 4 more Dustin Darden <1% Richard Grayson <1% Daniel J. Sullivan Jr. <1% David Leslie <1% Scott Colom 99% Cindy Hyde-Smith 2% Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Settles on Associated Press
Trading closes Dec 15, 2026 9:59 AM ET
Traded $50.1K (53,893 contracts)
This week $50.1K
At stake $39.3K
Followed here since Nov 2, 2026
The rules If the number of the 13 Republican-favored 2026 U.S. Senate general elections (including special elections) listed in the Additional Details won by a nominee of the Republican Party is at least 11 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi .
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use . How to use Predictions