The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
At least 1
62%
▲ 2
59¢
64¢
$1.56
2.3K
At least 2
30%
▲ 1
25¢
35¢
$2.86
37.00
At least 3
25%
▲ 3
20¢
30¢
$3.33
61.00
At least 5
20%
▲ 1
16¢
24¢
$4.17
306
At least 10
11%
▼ 2
10¢
12¢
$8.33
1.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Two House Republicans battle to lead the party’s diminished ranksThe Washington Post · 3 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. It’s House Majority…
Mike Johnson says he will step aside as top House Republican next CongressNPR · 5 days agoNPR Mike Johnson says he will step aside as top House Republican next Congress Speaker Mike Johnson won't stay on as GOP leader in the House when the new Congress convenes in January. His decision follows crushing losses by Republicans in…
Johnson out as House Republican leader after GOP routsemafor.com · 5 days agoThe Louisiana Republican privately told staff he is not planning on running for leadership roles after the midterms. House Speaker Mike Johnson privately told staff he is not planning on running for minority leader or any other leadership…
Mike Johnson To Step Down From House Republican LeadershipDeadline · 5 days agoMidterm Elections: Mike Johnson To Step Down From House Republican Leadership After Democrats’ Blowout Victories Deadline Services to share this page. House Speaker Mike Johnson will not stay on as Republican leader when Democrats take…
Candelora Picked To Lead House RepublicansCT News Junkie · 4 days agoHARTFORD, CT — House Republicans unanimously chose Vincent Candelora to serve a fourth term as their leader Thursday night, backing the North Branford lawmaker to continue guiding the caucus. Candelora said he and his caucus colleagues are…
Lehman reelected to serve as House Republican Majority LeaderWZBD · 4 days agoWZBD State Rep. Matt Lehman (R-Berne) was reelected to serve as House Majority Leader for the Indiana House Republican Caucus, taking on a key leadership role ahead of the 2027 legislative session. “I appreciate my colleagues reelecting me…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions