Larger margin: Graham or Donalds? (Nov 3, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Senate Closes Dec 7 · $19.8K traded · $17.5K at stake · prices read 86 min ago

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The odds

-99.5median
-200200.0
Median -99.5Middle half -149.8 – -49.3

How the odds have moved

Median: 2.02 on Oct 25, -99.5 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Byron Donalds 100% 99¢ 19.8K
Darline Graham 1% 1¢ $100.00 18.9K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Larger, Graham, Donalds

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  • AK, IA, ME, MI<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, OH<1%
  • AK, IA, ME, TX<1%
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  • AK, IA, MI, TX<1%
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  • AK, KS, MI, TX<1%
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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