The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Sep 1, 2026
<1%
475.1K
Before Oct 1, 2026
1%
$100.00
80.0K
Before Nov 1, 2026
2%
▲ 2
$50.00
152.5K
Before Dec 1, 2026
21%
▼ 1
20¢
21¢
$4.76
952.3K
Before Feb 1, 2027
59%
▼ 1
58¢
60¢
$1.67
266.1K
Before Apr 1, 2027
71%
▼ 1
70¢
71¢
$1.41
190.3K
Before Jul 1, 2027
77%
▲ 1
76¢
77¢
$1.30
30.0K
Before Oct 1, 2027
80%
79¢
80¢
$1.25
13.2K
Before Jan 1, 2028
86%
▲ 3
85¢
86¢
$1.16
12.7K
Before Jul 1, 2028
88%
▲ 2
87¢
89¢
$1.12
8.0K
Before Jan 1, 2029
93%
▲ 3
91¢
95¢
$1.05
9.0K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Top House Democrat says he’s a ‘hard yes’ on Pete Hegseth impeachmentThe Washington Post · 34 h agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. “Pete Hegseth has got…
Will Pete Hegseth be the blue tsunami’s next victim?the Guardian · 3 days agoThe ‘secretary of war’ and his shameful history are facing bipartisan scrutiny Can you smell the schadenfreude in the air? Watching some of the worst people in the world get their comeuppance this week has been deeply satisfying. And the…
Donald Trump Teases More Firings, Defends Pete HegsethNewsweek · 2 days agoNov 07, 2026 at 06:09 AM EST President Donald Trump said Friday that he may make “a few changes” to his administration after Republicans’ midterm defeat, while expressing confidence in Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth. The president has…
GOP Rep. French Hill says "I want to hear the debate" on impeaching Pete HegsethCBS News · 33 h agoAs outgoing Rep. Thomas Massie plans to force a vote on impeaching Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, Republican Rep. French Hill said he "I want to hear the debate on it to see if it merits impeachment versus some other disciplinary action…
BBC Audio | Global News Podcast | Pete Hegseth under pressure after US electionsBBC News · 3 days agoGlobal News Podcast | Pete Hegseth under pressure after US elections BBC Pete Hegseth under pressure after US elections Tech stocks tank over AI panic Available for 88 days Pressure grows on the US defence secretary following the…
Pentagon Calls Questions Over Pete Hegseth’s Wife ‘Ridiculous Slander’Newsweek · 3 days agoNov 06, 2026 at 10:25 AM EST The Pentagon has defended Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and his wife after it emerged Jennifer Hegseth had worked with a consulting firm with alleged links to a major U.S. military supplier. The records offer…
Defiant Pete Hegseth posts new video as effort to impeach him growsCNN · 3 days agoCNN Defiant Pete Hegseth posts new video as effort to impeach him grows CNN News Central's Kate Bolduan speaks with Axios Politics Reporter Stef Kight about what could be in store for Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth next week on Capitol…
Pressure Mounts on Pete Hegseth Ahead of Impeachment Push Over IranNewsweek · 3 days agoNov 06, 2026 at 01:41 PM EST Pressure is mounting on Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth from both sides of the political aisle, with Republican Representative Thomas Massie preparing to force a House impeachment vote as soon as next week and…
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth pushes back against idea of being replacedCBS News · 4 days agoDefense Secretary Pete Hegseth is pushing back against a possible impeachment vote set to take place next week. President Donald Trump was reportedly asking advisors if he should stay in his role following Tuesday’s massive loss for…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions