Hurricane Pena category?
5%Category 1 or above
06
Install
Hurricane Rene category?
The odds
6%Category 1 or above
07
How the odds have moved
Category 1 or above: 6% on Oct 19, 6% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Category 1 or above | 6% | 1¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | 152 | |
| Category 2 or above | 4% | 1¢ | 22¢ | $4.55 | 340 | |
| Category 3 or above | 4% | 1¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 1.0K | |
| Category 5 or above | 1% | 2¢ | $50.00 | 75.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: hurricane, tropical storm, Hurricane Rene
Search ›- Tropical Storm Vance heads toward Sinaloa, bringing more heavy rainfall to northwest MexicoTropical Storm Vance continues to move northward off the coast of western Mexico and is projected to turn toward the coast of Sinaloa, where it could make landfall by the end of this week. The U.S. National Hurricane Center forecasts that…
- San Antonio news: Bomb scare, Tropical storm, Dallas Cowboys CheerleadersA bomb scare rattles a local school, Tropical Storm Vance could bring flooding to parts of Texas, and the Dallas Cowboys Cheerleaders sue My Chemical Romance — in a minute. Oct 28 (Reuters) - On more than 100,000 acres of Nevada desert…
- Tropical Storm Olana: Why Hawaii Should Stay Prepared, Even Without a Direct HitResearchers say even storms that don't directly hit us, can still have an impact. HONOLULU (Island News) -- Tropical Storm Olana is one to watch, but researchers say it’s a reminder that even storms that don’t directly hit us can still…
- Tropical Storm Dolly forms in the Atlantic – KVNU – News for Northern Utah and Southern IdahoTropical Storm Dolly, the fourth tropical cyclone of the 2026 hurricane season, formed in the Atlantic on Thursday, the National Hurricane Center said. The storm is not named after country music start Dolly Parton, who died this week…
- Vance no longer a hurricane but as a tropical storm still threatens Mexico's Pacific coastMIAMI — A gradually weakening Tropical Storm Vance churned Sunday off Mexico's southwest Pacific coast but still threatened heavy rains and flash flooding in several western states of the country. Vance, a former Category 2 hurricane as of…
- Vance no longer a hurricane but still threatens Mexico’s Pacific coast as a tropical stormMIAMI — A gradually weakening Tropical Storm Vance churned Sunday off Mexico’s southwest Pacific coast but still threatened heavy rains and flash flooding in several western states of the country. Vance, a former Category 2 hurricane as of…
- Tropical Storm Champi: Japan's Kyushu braces for landfall after storm sweeps past southwest regionJapan's Kyushu region is bracing for Tropical Storm Champi's landfall, as it sweeps past the nation's southwestern islands, leaving a trail of destruction. Authorities warn of more heavy rain, violent winds and storm surges, along with…
- Tropical storm Champi bringing heavy rain to western JapanTropical storm Champi is moving northeast over the East China Sea. Atmospheric conditions are very unstable in western and eastern Japan, as warm and damp air around the storm flows into a front stretching near the main island of Honshu…
- Tropical Storm Champi nears China after battering Taiwan, JapanA powerful storm swept towards China yesterday after battering Taiwan and Japan’s southernmost islands, knocking out power to thousands of households and forcing the cancellation of hundreds of ... Choose a section, type your search topic…
- Tropical Storm In-Fa 'looking like a northern CNMI storm,' could become CAT 4 typhoonCurrently, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center forecasts In-Fa to possibly reach the northern Commonwealth of the Northern Marianas Islands by morning Oct. 30, 2026 as a Category 3 typhoon. In-Fa is located 280 miles northwest of Kwajalein…
- Atlantic Is Quiet After Hurricane IsaiasUNITED STATES · WEATHER Hurricane Isaias is not threatening the United States tonight, because the storm behind the alarming headlines is already over. On Wednesday 28 October 2026 the National Hurricane Center (NHC), the US government’s…
- Tropical Storm Champi nears mainland China after battering Taiwan, JapanA powerful storm swept towards mainland China on Saturday after battering Taiwan and Japan’s southernmost islands, knocking out power to thousands of households and forcing the cancellation of hundreds of flights. Typhoon Champi was…
Related markets
All hurricanes & storms ›Hurricane Paulette category?
15%Category 1 or above
06
What named storms will be hurricanes in the Atlantic this year? (Atlantic in 2026)
11%Kyle
- Kyle11%▲ 6
- Fay3%▲ 1
- Leah2%▼ 1
14 more
- Marco1%
- Dolly1%▼ 1
- Edouard1%▼ 1
- Gonzalo1%▼ 1
- Hanna1%▼ 2
- Josephine1%▼ 1
- Nana1%
- Omar1%
- Paulette1%▼ 1
- Rene1%▼ 1
- Sally1%
- Teddy1%
- Vicky1%
- Wilfred1%
Atlantic Tropical Storms (Dec 2026)
9.58median
818
Median 9.58Middle half 9.20 – 9.95
How many Eastern Pacific named storms will there be this year? (Eastern Pacific in 2026)
20.7median
1828
Median 20.7
Number of tropical storms in the Atlantic in 2026?
14%Above 10
835
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions