Iowa: Sand's margin vs. Turek's margin? (Nov 3, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Senate Closes Dec 7 · $23 today · $10.7K traded · $8.1K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

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The odds

7.46median
-20015.0
Median 7.46Middle half 6.65 – 8.27

How the odds have moved

Median: 7.35 on Oct 20, 7.46 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Turek by 3+ <1% 1¢ $100.00 2.1K
Turek by 0-3 2% 4¢ $25.00 2.6K
Sand by 0-3 2% 28¢ $3.57 669
Sand by 3-6 1% ▼ 1 2¢ $50.00 7.9K
Sand by 6-9 92% ▲ 23 9¢ $1.09 10.6K
Sand by 9-12 2% 25¢ $4.00 5.7K
Sand by 12+ 1% 1¢ 27¢ $3.70 7.4K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Iowa, Sand, Turek

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