Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Sep 1, 2026
1%
$100.00
30.7K
Before Oct 1, 2026
2%
$50.00
38.3K
Before Nov 1, 2026
1%
▲ 1
$100.00
90.4K
Before Dec 1, 2026
7%
▼ 3
5¢
8¢
$12.50
120.5K
Before Feb 1, 2027
40%
▲ 7
38¢
42¢
$2.38
3.0K
Before Apr 1, 2027
52%
▼ 3
51¢
52¢
$1.92
7.4K
Before Jul 1, 2027
62%
▼ 1
63¢
65¢
$1.54
5.5K
Before Oct 1, 2027
62%
▼ 9
54¢
69¢
$1.45
3.9K
Before Jan 1, 2028
75%
▲ 2
74¢
76¢
$1.32
1.6K
Before Jul 1, 2028
82%
79¢
84¢
$1.19
193
Before Jan 1, 2029
84%
▼ 1
83¢
85¢
$1.18
3.5K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Chesterfield Township man accused of making threats against FBI Director Kash PatelCBS News · 7 days agoNovember 2, 2026 / 2:19 PM EST / CBS Detroit A Michigan man was accused of making threats to kill Federal Bureau of Investigation Director Kash Patel along with another FBI agent, the U.S. Attorney for the Eastern District of Michigan…
Michigan man charged with threatening to kill FBI Director Kash PatelCNN · 9 days agoA Michigan man was arrested Friday and charged with making threats against FBI Director Kash Patel, federal prosecutors announced. Anthony Daniel Palazzolo, 42, of Chesterfield Township, is accused of writing Facebook messages threatening…
FBI Director Kash Patel under scrutiny for use of SWAT teams to protect his girlfriendBostonGlobe.com · 6 days agoWhen Alexis Wilkins, an aspiring country singer dating FBI Director Kash Patel, sang “The Star-Spangled Banner” at the National Rifle Association’s annual convention in Atlanta in the spring, she arrived with a formidable protective posse…
Pete Hegseth, Kash Patel And Elon Musk Call On Americans To VoteNews Mobile · 6 days agoUnited States: Americans are heading to the polls for the 2026 US midterm elections, with several prominent political and business figures appealing to voters to participate in large numbers and exercise their right to vote. The elections…
Feds: Michigan Man Charged for Threatening to Kill FBI Director Kash PatelBreitbart · 8 days agoFederal authorities arrested a Michigan man Friday for allegedly threatening to kill Federal Bureau of Investigation Director (FBI) Kash Patel and one of his associates. The suspect was identified as 42-year-old Anthony Daniel Palazzolo of…
Kash Patel dealt humiliating blow as ‘major’ hack threatens to spread beyond his FBIRaw Story · 6 days agoFBI Director Kash Patel's tenure took another hit this week after it was learned that hackers likely used agency servers to breach employee data across the Justice Department. Francey Hakes, who leads the Justice Department’s Executive…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions