Who will hold Amy Klobuchar's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?

Kalshi Elections › Senate Closes Feb 1, 2027 · $23 today · $3K traded · $1.6K at stake · prices read 74 min ago

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The odds

48%Kelly Morrison

Kelly Morrison48%
Angie Craig10%▼ 3
Steve Simon7%▼ 5
Erin Murphy5%▲ 2
Amy Klobuchar4%
Tina Smith4%
Keith Ellison3%▼ 1
Tim Walz3%
Ilhan Omar3%
Ben Schierer2%
Jacob Frey2%
Betty McCollum1%▲ 1

4 more

Peggy Flanagan1%▲ 1
Jesse Ventura1%▲ 1
No one1%
Melisa López Franzen1%

How the odds have moved

Kelly Morrison: 38% on Oct 20, 48% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

Oct 25, 10 PM ETKelly Morrison: 24% → 18%

No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
Kelly Morrison	48%		45¢	50¢	$2.00	4.7K
Angie Craig	10%	▼ 3	9¢	11¢	$9.09	5.0K
Steve Simon	7%	▼ 5	2¢	12¢	$8.33	2.4K
Erin Murphy	5%	▲ 2		9¢	$11.11	347
Amy Klobuchar	4%			8¢	$12.50	416
Tina Smith	4%			8¢	$12.50	94.00
Keith Ellison	3%	▼ 1		6¢	$16.67	614
Tim Walz	3%			6¢	$16.67	416
Ilhan Omar	3%			5¢	$20.00
Ben Schierer	2%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	15.00
Jacob Frey	2%		1¢	2¢	$50.00	15.00
Betty McCollum	1%	▲ 1		2¢	$50.00
Peggy Flanagan	1%	▲ 1		2¢	$50.00	440
Jesse Ventura	1%	▲ 1		2¢	$50.00	4.00
No one	1%			1¢	$100.00	662
Melisa López Franzen	1%			1¢	$100.00	172

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Amy Klobuchar's Senate, Kelly Morrison, Angie Craig

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Amy Klobuchar, Angie Craig condemn Hasan Piker ahead of planned Minneapolis event with Ilhan OmarJewish Insider · 22 days ago‘The Senator believes that a number of the statements [Piker] has made are reckless and unacceptable,’ a spokesperson for Klobuchar told JI Sam Barnes/Web Summit via Sportsfile via Getty Images Hasan Piker during day two of Web Summit…
Free Air Time: 3rd Congressional District Candidate Kelly MorrisonKSTP.com 5 Eyewitness News · 24 days ago5 EYEWITNESS NEWS Free Air Time: 3rd Congressional District Candidate Kelly Morrison Free Air Time: Kelly Morrison This election season, 5 EYEWITNESS NEWS is giving candidates in Minnesota’s biggest races a chance to speak directly to you…
Exclusive / Three returning Democratic committee leaders still behind on duessemafor.com · 21 days agoRep. Maxine Waters, D-Calif., is one of three House Democrats who have yet to pay their DCCC dues in full despite plans to return to top committee jobs next year, according to a draft of the DCCC’s September dues report seen by Semafor…
Michele Tafoya tries to distance herself from Trump as U.S. Senate race tightensCBS News · 22 days agoOctober 18, 2026 / 6:11 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota One of the closest elections is expected to be the Minnesota race for U.S. Senate. According to the site Real Clear Politics, the average of polls has DFL Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan 2.9% ahead of…
Minneapolis opens 12 pop-up early voting sites across the city ahead of Nov. 3 electionCBS News · 21 days agoOctober 19, 2026 / 12:22 PM CDT / CBS Minnesota Minneapolis is expanding early voting opportunities with 12 pop-up locations opening across the city Monday as officials encourage residents to cast their ballots before Election Day. The…
Minnesota Democrats among those targeted with threatening letters containing suspicious substancesFergus Falls Daily Journal · 22 days agoST. PAUL — Democratic U.S. Sens. Amy Klobuchar and Tina Smith, along with U.S. Rep. Kelly Morrison and Minnesota Secretary of State Steve Simon, reported Friday, Oct. 16, that their offices were sent threatening letters with suspicious…
Hasan Piker event in Minnesota with Ilhan Omar faces growing backlashJewish Insider · 21 days agoSen. Amy Klobuchar, Rep. Angie Craig and the state Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party’s Jewish caucus all condemned Piker Hasan Piker speaks during a campaign rally for Wisconsin gubernatorial candidate Francesca Hong on August 2, 2026 in…
How election safeguards stop fake ballotsFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul · 21 days agoFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul Could someone dump fake ballots into an election or interfere with the vote count? Minnesota Secretary of State Steve Simon explains what prevents someone from dumping fake ballots into an election or interfering…
Minnesota Secretary of State addresses suspicious mail, election securityFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul · 21 days agoFOX 9 Minneapolis-St. Paul Two weeks from Election Day in Minnesota, Secretary of State Steve Simon joined FOX 9 All Day to discuss recent suspicious mail sent to election offices around the country as well as early voting numbers and…
Piker’s prospectPower Line · 21 days agoPiker is a rancid twit “with a longstanding record of antisemitic and hateful rhetoric [that] is a betrayal of Jewish Minnesotans and harmful to the broader public.” That’s the way my friend Steve Hunegs puts it in a statement for…
Flanagan emphasizes reproductive rights, ICE reform and voter turnoutInsight News · 20 days agoAs the 2026 midterm elections approach, the U.S. Supreme Cou… The DFL office at 2708 E. Lake Street in Minneapolis was the… Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan is using the closing weeks of her U.S. Senate campaign to emphasize reproductive…
4 candidates running for Minnesota’s top election officeInForum · 20 days agoST. PAUL — The four candidates in the Secretary of State’s race have differing visions for how to run the office that oversees Minnesota’s elections. DFL incumbent Steve Simon is hoping to stay in the “democracy business," as he calls it…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onU.S. Senate

Trading closesFeb 1, 2027 9:59 AM ET

Traded$3K (15,294 contracts)

Today$23

This week$1.3K

At stake$1.6K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Amy Klobuchar officially holds the position of United States Senator from Minnesota, Class I on Feb 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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