Michigan: Benson's margin vs. El-Sayed's margin? (Nov 3, 2026)

Kalshi Elections › Senate Closes Dec 1 · $5.3K traded · $4K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

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The odds

4.88median
-20018.0
Median 4.88Middle half 3.81 – 5.95

How the odds have moved

Median: 5.46 on Oct 20, 4.88 now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
El-Sayed by 3+ 1% 3¢ $33.33 1.0K
El-Sayed by 0-3 <1% 1¢ $100.00 2.3K
Benson by 0-3 4% ▼ 10 10¢ 28¢ $3.57 2.3K
Benson by 3-6 70% ▲ 10 77¢ 87¢ $1.15 3.9K
Benson by 6-9 21% ▲ 21 2¢ 23¢ $4.35 8.1K
Benson by 9-12 2% 28¢ $3.57 1.3K
Benson by 12-15 1% 72¢ $1.39 1.2K
Benson by 15+ 1% 51¢ $1.96 1.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Michigan, Benson, El-Sayed

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