The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Sep 1, 2026
1%
$100.00
4.1K
Before Jan 1, 2027
5%
▲ 1
4¢
6¢
$16.67
14.3K
Before Jul 1, 2027
22%
▲ 1
18¢
25¢
$4.00
1.9K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
New Constitutional Amendment Would Give Congress Power Over Campaign CashNewsweek · 6 days agoNov 03, 2026 at 10:39 AM EST A proposed constitutional amendment would give Congress and state legislatures greater authority to regulate campaign contributions and political spending, potentially changing the rules governing money in U.S…
Missouri Amendment 3 resultsAP News · 6 days agoLive results for the 2026 Missouri amendment 3 election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. Missouri Amendment 3 results When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178…
Colorado constitutional amendments 81 & 82 rejected by votersCBS News · 5 days agoCBS News Colorado constitutional amendments 81 & 82 rejected by voters Denver restaurant workers reimbursed for unpaid wages Governor-Elect Phil Weiser promises an inclusive administration Blast of snow in the mountains with some rain on…
Idaho Constitutional Amendment HJR 4 resultsAP News · 6 days agoLive results for the 2026 Idaho constitutional amendment hjr 4 election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. Idaho Constitutional Amendment HJR 4 results When the nation waits for…
Wisconsin Assembly passes constitutional amendment to limit diversity effortsCBS News · 5 days agoFebruary 15, 2024 / 12:05 PM CST / AP A constitutional amendment supported by Republicans that attempts to limit diversity, equity and inclusion efforts in Wisconsin won approval Thursday in the state Assembly. The measure is the latest…
Amendment 81, immigration status notification, rejected among Colorado votersCBS News · 5 days agoNovember 4, 2026 / 2:25 PM MST / CBS Colorado Colorado voters rejected Amendment 81, which would have required state and local law enforcement agencies to cooperate with U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement, or ICE, in certain…
Maryland voters approve Democratic-backed redistricting amendmentNBC News · 6 days agoBREAKING: Democrat Annie Andrews defeats GOP Sen. Darline Graham in South Carolina, a major upset Maryland voters approved a constitutional amendment that paves the way for Democrats to redraw their state’s congressional map, NBC News…
Florida Votes to Slash Property Taxes as Amendment 3 PassesNewsweek · 5 days agoNov 03, 2026 at 10:51 PM EST Nov 04, 2026 at 10:29 AM EST Florida voters approved Amendment 3 on Tuesday, clearing the way for property tax cuts for some homeowners and potentially docking millions in funding for vital public services. The…
Minnesotans back amendment to boost school funding without raising taxesCBS News · 5 days agoCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Minnesotans back…
Colorado voters reject Amendment 82, constitutional right to natural gasCBS News · 5 days agoNovember 4, 2026 / 2:46 PM MST / CBS Colorado Amendment 82 failed among Colorado voters in Tuesday's election. The rejected amendment would have created a constitutional right for consumers to purchase natural gas for cooking and heating…
Colorado voters reject Amendment 83, constitutional right to hunt and fishCBS News · 5 days agoNovember 4, 2026 / 4:00 PM MST / CBS Colorado Amendment 83 has failed in Colorado after voters rejected the idea of a constitutional right to hunt and fish. The amendment specified that hunting and fishing are the preferred means of…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions