The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Yes
36%
▲ 5
34¢
38¢
$2.63
4.8K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
China calls on US and EU to reconsider tariffssemafor.com · 5 days agoBeijing said it was willing to buy more US farm goods, but only if the two sides agreed to slash tariffs. Beijing called on the US and the EU to reconsider their levies on Chinese goods, as the countryâs exports reached record highs…
BD CEO explains how the company used tariff refunds to buy back sharesFox Business · 4 days agoAdjusted earnings jump twenty-seven percent for MedTech giant BD as Chairman and CEO Tom Polen joins Liz Claman on 'The Claman Countdown.' Polen breaks down the company's quarterly sales performance and strong GLP-1 drug delivery business…
US midterm results a 'victory' for Canadians hopeful of tariff reliefBBC News · 5 days agoIt was the midterm result that many in Canada had hoped for - a Democratic sweep that was in part a repudiation by American voters of Donald Trump's tariff on close trade allies. "I was doing cartwheels down the street," said Ontario…
Trump tariffs in red states could cause a GOP loss, expert warnsFox News · 6 days agoFox News Trump tariffs in red states could cause a GOP loss, expert warns Former Obama economic advisor Robert Wolf argues that tariffs under President Donald Trump damaged key farming sectors in Iowa and Ohio with high prices.
James Moore: Trump and tariffs had a bad night. A tariff deal makes little sense nowCTVNews · 4 days agoCTV News James Moore is a former federal cabinet minister from B.C under prime minister Stephen Harper and is a contributing columnist for CTVNews.ca VANCOUVER â There is no sugarcoating the results of the midterm elections in the United…
Democrats Plan Strategy to Eliminate Trump's Canada TariffsThe Last Refuge · 4 days agoUnfortunately, as noted in the initial predictions for 2027 legislative expectations it appears the ability of President Trump to execute an America-First economic policy is going to be targeted. Incoming Democrat committee leaders are…
Democrats Plan to Reverse Trump’s Canada TariffsPolitical Wire · 4 days ago“Democrats are eyeing President Trump’s trade war with Canada as the first target in a campaign to roll back his administration’s tariff agenda,” the Wall Street Journal reports. Economy, Foreign Affairs, Senate Electoral Map Electoral…
Trump tariffs to survive mid-term gridlockFarmers Weekly · 4 days agoA new state of gridlock in the United States Congress is unlikely to knock Donald Trump’s global tariff attack off course in the final two years of his presidency, according to trade experts. Trump’s Republican Party lost majorities in the…
Donald Trump lost Congress. Will his tariffs be next?Financial Post · 4 days agoIt remains unclear whether Democratic control will strengthen Canada's hand in trade negotiations Democrats control Congress. Canada may have new allies against President Donald Trump’s tariffs — but no immediate relief. McKay: Canada…
What's next for Pres. Trump's tariffs under a Democratic Congress?Yahoo News · 4 days agoElection results showed most voters disagreed with President Trump's economic plans. With democrats in control of both chambers of Congress, there are questions about what comes next for tariffs. International trade attorney Michelle…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions