Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
No other person
43%
39¢
47¢
$2.13
2.8K
Bill Hagerty
28%
▲ 1
25¢
32¢
$3.13
4.4K
Robert O'Brien
14%
14¢
15¢
$6.67
696
Ric Grenell
7%
▲ 1
3¢
12¢
$8.33
997
Mike Waltz
1%
0¢
3¢
$40.00
745
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Secretary of State, Bill Hagerty, Robert O'Brien
Iowa Secretary of State Election Live Results 2026AP News · 3 days agoAP News Iowa Secretary of State results When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply…
Arizona Secretary of State Election Live Results 2026AP News · 3 days agoAP News Arizona Secretary of State results When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists…
Garlin Gilchrist talks about winning Michigan's secretary of state raceCBS News · 4 days agoCBS News Garlin Gilchrist talks about winning Michigan's secretary of state race Michigan expert speaks on historic wins in midterm election Renaissance Center development plan funding moves forward What to know about March of Dimes' Black…
Idaho Secretary of State Election Live Results 2026AP News · 4 days agoAP News Idaho Secretary of State results When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists simply…
Alabama Secretary of State Election Live Results 2026AP News · 4 days agoAP News Alabama Secretary of State results When the nation waits for results, who do you trust? For 178 years, AP has been the steady voice America turns to on election night. Our reporters, election analysts and graphics journalists…
Democrats score key secretary of state wins ahead of the 2028 electionNBC News · 5 days agoDemocrats won secretary of state contests in four presidential battlegrounds while making inroads in red territory, giving them election oversight authority in key states for the 2028 elections. Democratic candidates maintained control of…
Steve Simon reelected Minnesota secretary of state, CBS News projectsCBS News · 6 days agoNovember 4, 2026 / 7:03 AM CST / CBS Minnesota Minnesota Secretary of State Steve Simon has won reelection to a fourth term, CBS News projects. Simon, a Democrat, defeated Republican challenger Tad Jude. In the 2024 presidential election…
Wisconsin Secretary of State resultsAP News · 6 days agoLive results for the 2026 Wisconsin Secretary of State general election. Track election results with real-time vote counts, county-level maps and race calls from AP. Wisconsin Secretary of State results When the nation waits for results…
Democrat Amanda Gonzalez projected to be next Colorado Secretary of StateCBS News · 6 days agoNovember 3, 2026 / 8:36 PM MST / CBS Colorado Democrat Amanda Gonzalez is projected to be the winner of the race for Colorado Secretary of State, according to CBS News. When the race was called, Gonzalez had 60.9% of the vote, while…
Nevada Secretary of State announces new Tribal Liaison@KOLO8 · 3 days agoCARSON CITY, Nev. (KOLO) - The Nevada Secretary of State’s Office has announced a new Tribal Liaison. Margaret Scharmann, Yaqui and Hopi, joins the office, Nevada Secretary of State Cisco Aguilar announced on Friday. She previously served…
Secretary of State issues unprocessed ballot reportLassen News · 3 days agoThe Office of the California Secretary of State reminds voters that county elections officials are hard at work continuing to count ballots from the Nov. 3 General Election. County elections officials have up to 30 days after Election Day…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions