Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Nov 5, 1 PM ET25% → 19%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Yes
18%
▼ 3
16¢
19¢
$5.26
3.3K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Former CISA Director Chris Krebs discusses the security of the midterm electionsNPR · 6 days agoNPR Former CISA Director Chris Krebs discusses the security of the midterm elections Former head of the Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency Chris Krebs about the security of the midterm elections. NPR does not offer or accept…
NSA and CISA Issue Post-Quantum Vendor GuidanceDigital Watch Observatory · 5 days agoNSA joins Australian and US agencies in issuing post-quantum guidance Digital Watch Observatory NSA joins Australian and US agencies in issuing post-quantum guidance Three cybersecurity agencies have introduced practical questions to help…
Democrats’ midterm sweep puts CISA cuts, intelligence disputes under scrutinyNextgov.com · 5 days agoMehmet Eser/Anadolu via Getty Images House Democrats plan to investigate how the Trump administration’s cuts to the nation’s cyberdefense agency affected its ability to protect federal networks and help states secure elections, part of a…
CISA says hackers exploit WordPress update flaw2-Spyware · 6 days agoUnder attack: update now 1 since yesterday · 4 fix deadlines this week My.com game center virus Frontline Education breach hits 1.3 million school staff CISA says hackers exploit WordPress update flaw The catch for attackers is timing. The…
CISA: Agencies Must Think Like Attackers for AI Cyber ThreatsGovCIO Media & Research · 5 days agoCISA is urging federal agencies to adopt an attacker-centered approach to vulnerability management as AI accelerates cyber threats. The speed at which AI can find a network weakness and exploit it means agencies need to adopt an…
CISA Adds WordPress Vulnerability to KEV Catalog After Upgrade-Window Attacksremio · 5 days agoThe Canadian Centre for Cyber Security confirms the catalog addition in its WordPress security advisory. WordPress had already released its fix, making the new development a change in exploitation status rather than a fresh software…
U.S. CISA adds Apple flaw to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalogSecurity Affairs · 5 days agoU.S. Charges Canadian Man in Alleged Hack of University Supercomputers Two Barracuda ESG Flaws Could Be Combined for Full Root Access; Patches Released Cyberattack Hits French Blood Banks as Hackers Target Refrigeration Systems Across…
CISA names former HHS official Brian Mazanec to lead infrastructure securityElets eGov · 6 days agoHover a headline to pause it · drag the rail to scrub · ← → to step · Space to pause Brian Mazanec, who previously oversaw health-sector preparedness at the Department of Health and Human Services, has been sworn in as acting executive…
CISA flags WordPress RCE flaw as actively exploited in attacksBleepingComputer · 6 days agoGoogle disrupts million-device XCPE Android malware botnet, bans TV box maker Ivanti patches two more Connect Secure zero-days chained in attacks NIKKE PC game launcher hacked to spread remote access, data-stealing malware mSecure password…
BPI Joins Coalition Urging CISA 2015 Reauthorization in NDAABank Policy Institute · 6 days agoDear Chairman Wicker, Ranking Member Reed, Chairman Rogers and Ranking Member Smith: We write to express our strong support for Section 1706 of H.R. 8800, BPI Joins Coalition Urging CISA 2015 Reauthorization in NDAA Dear Chairman Wicker…
CISA confirms active exploitation of WordPress Core race condition flawElets eGov · 6 days agoHover a headline to pause it · drag the rail to scrub · ← → to step · Space to pause ✦ AI SUMMARY 30-second read Why it matters: Unauthenticated code execution on widely deployed WordPress servers poses a direct risk to government and…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions