Will CMS release any deferred Medicaid funds to California or Minnesota? (Before Jan 1, 2027)

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Dec 31 · $356 traded · $163 at stake · prices read 16 min ago

Embed

The odds

46%Before Jan 1, 2027
  • Before Jan 1, 202746%▼ 1

How the odds have moved

Before Jan 1, 2027: 52% on Oct 19, 46% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Before Sep 1, 2026 8% $12.50 2.4K
Before Jan 1, 2027 46% ▼ 1 42¢ 49¢ $2.04 354

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Medicaid, California, Minnesota

Search ›
  • Minnesota 2026 election resultsCNN · 7 days agoCNN Minnesota 2026 election results Live results: Minnesota Senate Follow live results in the Minnesota Senate race, county by county, as votes are counted on election night. Senate results by county Live results: Minnesota Governor Follow…
  • 2026 Minnesota Medicaid and Benefits Fraud Takedown - Case Summariesjustice.gov · 7 days agoCharles Wayne Healey, 61, of Blue Earth, Minnesota, and Katherin Suzan Larsen-Guthmiller, 66, of Blue Earth, Minnesota, were charged by indictment with conspiracy to commit health care fraud and money ... 2026 Minnesota Medicaid and…
  • Minnesota U.S. Senate Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 6 days agoMN (Top headline, 9th story, link) Related stories:AKFLGAIAKSLAMEMIMSNCNENHOHSCTXRESULTS: HOUSE [99% CHANCE DEM VICTORY]....SENATE [72% DEM CHANCE]... DEVELOPING... Former North Carolina Gov Roy Cooper flipped a Senate seat for Democrats…
  • Minnesota Orchestra to showcase sounds of the Nordic regionCBS News · 6 days agoCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Minnesota…
  • Minnesota U.S. Senate race could decide balance of powerCBS News · 6 days agoCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Minnesota U.S…
  • Minnesota's midterm election 2026: Follow the latest updatesCBS News · 6 days agoNovember 3, 2026 / 12:54 PM CST / CBS Minnesota Voters across Minnesota are heading to the polls Tuesday for the midterm elections. Some of the biggest storylines include Minnesota's gubernatorial race, where the winner will almost…
  • Minnesota voters discuss civic engagement amid conversations about immigrationCBS News · 6 days agoFederal agents came to Minnesota late last year and earlier this year in an effort to enforce immigration laws. The U.S. Census shows that one in 11 Minnesotans was born outside the United States. These immigrants have a strong track…
  • Bucks' Kyle Kuzma: Struggles against MinnesotaCBS Sports · 6 days agoCBS Sports Kuzma ended with two points (1-6 FG, 0-4 3Pt), two rebounds, three assists and one steal over 22 minutes during Monday's 112-100 loss to the Timberwolves. Kuzma endured another frustrating offensive outing, missing all four of…
  • Minnesota Governor Midterm Election 2026: Live ResultsNBC News · 7 days agoSee how votes are shifting as results come in across Minnesota. Vote-shift comparisons are shown once enough of the expected vote is in for a county. Minnesota Governor Results 2026 See how votes are shifting as results come in across…
  • Why homeowners insurance premiums have spiked in MinnesotaCBS News · 7 days agoCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Why homeowners…
  • Minnesota weather to feature scattered showers on Election DayCBS News · 7 days agoCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Minnesota…
  • Minnesota election results and live counts for 2026 midterm electionCBS News · 6 days agoCBS News Minnesota is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCCO-TV and channel 4, CBS News Minnesota offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Minnesotans…

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

37%Pete Hegseth
  • Pete Hegseth37%▼ 5
  • Will Scharf31%▼ 11
  • Trent McCotter28%▼ 9
37 more
  • Stanley Woodward28%▼ 6
  • Amy Gleason27%▼ 7
  • Christopher Landau26%▼ 1
  • Howard Lutnick25%▲ 5
  • Kash Patel23%▼ 1
  • Doug Collins21%▲ 1
  • Brad Cooper20%
  • Dan Caine20%▼ 2
  • Steven Cheung19%▼ 17
  • Kevin Hassett19%▲ 4
  • Linda McMahon18%▼ 3
  • Sergio Gor18%▼ 7
  • Peter Navarro17%▼ 1
  • Brooke Rollins17%
  • Marco Rubio14%▼ 2
  • Chris Wright14%
  • Doug Burgum14%
  • John Ratcliffe14%▲ 3
  • Scott Turner13%▲ 2
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.13%▼ 4
  • Steve Witkoff13%▼ 5
  • Mehmet Oz13%▼ 1
  • Bill Pulte13%▼ 1
  • Kelly Loeffler13%▼ 6
  • Joe Gebbia13%▲ 2
  • Jamieson Greer12%▲ 1
  • Mike Huckabee12%▲ 1
  • Tom Homan11%
  • Todd Blanche11%▼ 4
  • Rodney Scott10%
  • Sean Duffy10%▼ 1
  • Mike Waltz10%▼ 8
  • Russell Vought8%
  • Lee Zeldin8%▲ 1
  • Scott Bessent8%▼ 1
  • Tilman Fertitta8%▲ 2
  • Brendan Carr5%▼ 2

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

99%Susie Wiles
  • Susie Wiles99%▲ 75
  • None before 2027<1%▼ 17
  • J.D. Vance<1%▼ 1
18 more
  • Marco Rubio<1%▼ 17
  • Scott Bessent<1%▼ 2
  • Pete Hegseth<1%▼ 33
  • Doug Burgum<1%▼ 2
  • Brooke Rollins<1%▼ 1
  • Howard Lutnick<1%▼ 2
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%▼ 3
  • Scott Turner<1%
  • Sean Duffy<1%
  • Chris Wright<1%▼ 1
  • Linda McMahon<1%
  • Doug Collins<1%
  • Lee Zeldin<1%▼ 1
  • Russell T. Vought<1%
  • John Ratcliffe<1%
  • Jamieson Greer<1%▼ 1
  • Mike Waltz<1%▼ 2
  • Kelly Loeffler<1%▼ 1

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions