Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Nov 7, 9 PM ETBefore Jul 1, 2027: 77% → 70%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Apr 1, 2027
62%
▼ 3
59¢
64¢
$1.56
1.9K
Before Jul 1, 2027
68%
▼ 2
64¢
71¢
$1.41
649
Before Oct 1, 2027
77%
▲ 3
73¢
80¢
$1.25
770
Before Jan 1, 2028
83%
▲ 4
78¢
87¢
$1.15
4.3K
Before Jul 1, 2028
90%
▲ 1
88¢
92¢
$1.09
482
Before Jan 1, 2029
94%
▲ 3
89¢
98¢
$1.02
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Clyburn says Hegseth and RFK Jr. should be impeachedCNN · 3 days agoCNN Clyburn says Hegseth and RFK Jr. should be impeached Democratic Rep. James Clyburn tells CNN's Pamela Brown that Congress should impeach Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. but…
RFK Jr. Stands ‘Firmly Behind’ Trump as Democrats Suggest He ResignBreitbart · 3 days agoHealth and Human Services (HHS) Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. shared that he stands “firmly behind” President Donald Trump and “the historic reforms” they are advancing together. In a post on X, Kennedy highlighted how the Trump…
Abdul El-Sayed vows to probe RFK Jr. over summer’s diarrhea lettuce outbreakNew York Post · 4 days agoMichigan Sen.-elect Abdul El-Sayed said he wants Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. to answer for the explosive diarrhea parasite linked to lettuce that infected thousands over the summer. The progressive Democrat —…
Half of RFK Jr. health panel appointees granted waivers to keep stocks: NY TimesSeeking Alpha · 4 days agoSeeking Alpha patpitchaya/iStock via Getty Images Half of the eight individuals HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. appointed to the United States Preventive Services Task Force received conflict-of-interest waivers, allowing them to keep…
RFK Jr., Political Liability: Public Health Project NewsletterProtect Our Care · 3 days agoJust days ago, there was ‘zero’ sign that Health Secretary Kennedy’s job was in jeopardy. Now after the historic Democratic midterm blowout even in the reddest of red states, here comes the reporting that “RFK Jr.’s alliance with Trump is…
MAHA Leader Open to Democrats Who Won’t Fight RFK Jr.RealClearHealth · 3 days agoRealClearHealth MAHA Leader Open to Democrats Who Won’t Fight RFK Jr. A top leader in the Make America Healthy Again (MAHA) movement said he is willing to work with Democrats if they share his vision, after Republicans were trounced out of…
Will RFK Jr. Face Impeachment Under New Congress?MedPage Today · 3 days ago— Dems already are discussing investigations, but impeachment would be a heavier lift, experts say On Friday, as some public health groups continued to call for the impeachment of HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Kennedy's fate…
RFK Jr. Links Soil Health to Human Illness at North Dakota Ranch EventKSJB AM 600 · 3 days agoKSJB AM 600 RFK Jr. Links Soil Health to Human Illness at North Dakota Ranch Event Robert F. Kennedy Jr. spoke about how soil health affects human health at a ranch near Bismarck on Thursday. Jack Dura from the North Dakota Monitor reports…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions