How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?
58.4median
4062
Median 58.4
Install
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2026 election? (Directional)
The odds
56.5median
4559
Median 56.5Middle half 56.2 – 56.8
How the odds have moved
Median: 53.5 on Nov 3, 56.5 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| At least 46 | 100% | ▲ 1 | 99¢ | 17.4K | ||
| At least 47 | 100% | 99¢ | 17.5K | |||
| At least 48 | 100% | 99¢ | 32.5K | |||
| At least 49 | 99% | 98¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 59.1K | |
| At least 50 | 99% | 99¢ | 75.8K | |||
| At least 51 | 99% | 99¢ | 105.5K | |||
| At least 52 | 99% | 99¢ | 107.2K | |||
| At least 53 | 99% | 98¢ | $1.01 | 177.9K | ||
| At least 54 | 99% | 98¢ | $1.01 | 141.1K | ||
| At least 55 | 98% | ▼ 2 | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | 178.1K |
| At least 56 | 94% | ▼ 1 | 93¢ | 95¢ | $1.05 | 272.8K |
| At least 57 | 8% | 7¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | 411.6K | |
| At least 58 | 2% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | 132.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Senate, Directional
Search ›- Senate Democrats welcome a red-state revolutionCatherine Cortez Masto was one of just three senators in the Democratic caucus to oppose last year’s government shutdown. She clashed openly with her own Democratic colleague over police grants. She seemed, at times, like a lonely…
- Alaska and Mississippi races still undecided as Democrats eye Senate seatsFox Business Alaska and Mississippi races still undecided as Democrats eye Senate seats Fox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram discusses recent election results as Alaska and Mississippi races are still undecided. Fox News…
- Democrat investigations will hit Republicans in the House and Senate, Comer warnsFox Business Democrat investigations will hit Republicans in the House and Senate, Comer warns Rep. James Comer, R-Ky., discusses potential Democratic investigations, GOP oversight preparations and the possibility of impeachment…
- Bipartisan Senate permitting bill is a 'trap' set by Democrats: Steve MilloyBipartisan Senate permitting reform faces major pushback as lawmakers clash over energy priorities. Steve Milloy joins 'Big Money in the Morning' to analyze the Bipartisan American Affordability and Jobs Act. He breaks down the potential…
- Exclusive / Democrats flock to Mississippi amid Senate vote tallyScott Colom’s lead against Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith, R-Miss., has increased to 1,724 votes but Democrats aren’t taking any chances with their nominee’s campaign. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee and Elias Law Group are on the…
- 4 things Democrats could do for the environment with a simple Senate majorityThe Democrats’ upcoming simple majority in the Senate will enable them to take multiple actions on climate, public lands, endangered species and other environmental issues. But the lack of a veto-proof majority means that Democrats’ power…
- Amy Klobuchar’s Senate Exit: List of Democrats Most Likely to Replace HerNov 05, 2026 at 06:46 PM EST With Democratic U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar set to become Minnesota's governor in January, attention is already turning to who could be appointed to fill the Senate seat she will leave behind. Under Minnesota…
- Mississippi Senate election: Democrat Scott Colom narrowly leads Republican Cindy Hyde-SmithMississippi's uncalled Senate election could provide one of the biggest shocks in a midterm election cycle already chock full of stunning Republican defeats. Sen. Cindy Hyde-Smith, the GOP incumbent, is trailing Democratic nominee Scott…
- What comes next as Democrats win House, SenateCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. What comes after…
- Democrats could dust off plans for Supreme Court reforms after capturing House and SenateNovember 6, 2026 / 5:00 AM CST / CBS News Washington — After years of calling for reforms to the Supreme Court following blockbuster decisions on abortion, presidential power and voting rights, Democrats may be poised to push forward with…
- CNN Voter Poll: Democrats’ Senate sweep shows a fracturing MAGA movementThe coalition that helped return Donald Trump to the presidency two years ago is beginning to fracture, CNN Voter Poll data shows, with Democratic Senate candidates peeling away voters to win seats in deeply Republican territory this…
Related markets
All senate ›Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
98%None
- None98%
- AK2%
- All 7<1%▼ 3
125 more
- AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%▼ 1
- AK, IA, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
- AK, IA, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%▼ 1
- AK, IA, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
- AK, IA, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
- AK, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
- IA, KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%▼ 1
- AK, IA, KS, ME, MI<1%
- AK, IA, KS, ME, OH<1%▼ 1
- AK, IA, KS, ME, TX<1%▼ 1
- AK, IA, KS, MI, OH<1%
- AK, IA, KS, MI, TX<1%
- AK, IA, KS, OH, TX<1%▼ 2
- AK, IA, ME, MI, OH<1%
- AK, IA, ME, MI, TX<1%
- AK, IA, ME, OH, TX<1%
- AK, IA, MI, OH, TX<1%
- AK, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
- AK, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
- AK, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%
- AK, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
- AK, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
- IA, KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
- IA, KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
- IA, KS, ME, OH, TX<1%
- IA, KS, MI, OH, TX<1%
- IA, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
- KS, ME, MI, OH, TX<1%
- AK, IA, KS, ME<1%▼ 1
- AK, IA, KS, MI<1%
- AK, IA, KS, OH<1%
- AK, IA, KS, TX<1%▼ 3
- AK, IA, ME, MI<1%
- AK, IA, ME, OH<1%
- AK, IA, ME, TX<1%
- AK, IA, MI, OH<1%
- AK, IA, MI, TX<1%
- AK, IA, OH, TX<1%
- AK, KS, ME, MI<1%
- AK, KS, ME, OH<1%
- AK, KS, ME, TX<1%
- AK, KS, MI, OH<1%
- AK, KS, MI, TX<1%
- AK, KS, OH, TX<1%
- AK, ME, MI, OH<1%
- AK, ME, MI, TX<1%
- AK, ME, OH, TX<1%
- AK, MI, OH, TX<1%
- IA, KS, ME, MI<1%
- IA, KS, ME, OH<1%
- IA, KS, ME, TX<1%
- IA, KS, MI, OH<1%
- IA, KS, MI, TX<1%
- IA, KS, OH, TX<1%
- IA, ME, MI, OH<1%
- IA, ME, MI, TX<1%
- IA, ME, OH, TX<1%
- IA, MI, OH, TX<1%
- KS, ME, MI, OH<1%
- KS, ME, MI, TX<1%
Alaska Senate winner? (2026)
98%Democratic party
- Democratic party98%▲ 1
- Republican party2%▼ 1
Next Senate Democratic Leader? (2028)
88%Chuck Schumer
- Chuck Schumer88%▼ 2
- Chris Van Hollen10%▲ 2
- Brian Schatz1%▼ 1
10 more
- Chris Murphy1%
- Mark Warner<1%
- Cory Booker<1%
- Raphael Warnock<1%
- Amy Klobuchar<1%
- Patty Murray<1%
- Tammy Baldwin<1%
- Jon Ossoff<1%
- Ruben Gallego<1%
- Jacky Rosen<1%
Next Senate Majority Leader?
89%Chuck Schumer
- Chuck Schumer89%▼ 4
- Chris Van Hollen9%▲ 4
- Brian Schatz2%▼ 1
8 more
- John Thune<1%
- John Barrasso<1%
- Steve Daines<1%
- Tom Cotton<1%
- Amy Klobuchar<1%
- Patty Murray<1%
- Cory Booker<1%
- Mark Kelly<1%
Alaska Senate Election Winner
99%Mary Peltola
- Mary Peltola99%
- Sen. Dan Sullivan1%▼ 1
- Ann Diener<1%
4 more
- Dustin Darden<1%
- Richard Grayson<1%
- Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.<1%
- David Leslie<1%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions