Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? (Before 2027)

Kalshi Politics › Congress Closes Jan 1, 2027 · $31 today · $2K traded · $776 at stake · prices read 23 min ago

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The odds

6%Catherine Cortez Masto
  • Catherine Cortez Masto6%▲ 1
  • Rand Paul5%▲ 1
  • Raphael Warnock4%
  • Mike Lee4%
  • Kirsten Gillibrand4%▼ 1
  • Andy Kim3%▼ 1
  • Lisa Blunt Rochester3%▼ 4
  • Jerry Moran3%
  • Angela Alsobrooks3%
  • Mark Warner3%▼ 3
  • Ruben Gallego2%▼ 1
  • Josh Hawley2%

How the odds have moved

Catherine Cortez Masto: 5% on Oct 20, 6% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Catherine Cortez Masto 6% ▲ 1 2¢ 9¢ $11.11 3.1K
Rand Paul 5% ▲ 1 2¢ 8¢ $12.50 3.4K
Raphael Warnock 4% 2¢ 6¢ $16.67 2.0K
Mike Lee 4% 2¢ 6¢ $16.67 12.2K
Kirsten Gillibrand 4% ▼ 1 2¢ 5¢ $20.00 8.2K
Andy Kim 3% ▼ 1 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 700
Lisa Blunt Rochester 3% ▼ 4 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 2.5K
Jerry Moran 3% 6¢ $16.67 6.4K
Angela Alsobrooks 3% 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 3.3K
Mark Warner 3% ▼ 3 1¢ 4¢ $25.00 5.3K
Ruben Gallego 2% ▼ 1 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 10.6K
Josh Hawley 2% 1¢ 2¢ $50.00 7.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Polymarket

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

5%Lisa Blunt Rochester
  • Lisa Blunt Rochester5%▲ 1
  • Mike Lee4%
  • Mark Warner4%▼ 1
  • Kirsten Gillibrand4%
11 more
  • Raphael Warnock4%
  • Jacky Rosen3%
  • Catherine Cortez Masto3%
  • Andy Kim3%
  • John Fetterman3%
  • Alex Padilla2%
  • Ruben Gallego2%
  • Rand Paul1%
  • Josh Hawley1%
  • Thom Tillis1%
  • Jerry Moran<1%
PolymarketCloses Jan 1, 2027 · $295 today · $53K traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: Clarity Act, Senators, Catherine Cortez Masto

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions