The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
10% or above
87%
▲ 1
83¢
90¢
$1.11
58.00
15% or above
6%
3¢
8¢
$12.50
20% or above
5%
2¢
7¢
$14.29
956
30% or above
5%
2¢
7¢
$14.29
2.4K
40% or above
5%
2¢
7¢
$14.29
50% or above
5%
2¢
7¢
$14.29
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
How Democrats will try to end Trump's tariffsCNBC · 37 h agoThe battle for Congress is over. The war over President Donald Trump's tariffs is about to heat up. The knotted web of tariffs that Trump spent the last two years weaving could soon face its biggest threat, as Democrats prepare to unload…
Democrats could target Trump tariffs after midterm sweep with some GOP aidWashington Examiner · 3 days agoWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
BD CEO explains how the company used tariff refunds to buy back sharesFox Business · 4 days agoAdjusted earnings jump twenty-seven percent for MedTech giant BD as Chairman and CEO Tom Polen joins Liz Claman on 'The Claman Countdown.' Polen breaks down the company's quarterly sales performance and strong GLP-1 drug delivery business…
Democrats can’t end Trump's tariffs without RepublicansThe Center Square · 34 h ago(The Center Square) – Democrats promised voters they would end President Donald Trump’s tariffs. The arithmetic says they cannot do it without Republican help. Democrats won control of both chambers during Tuesday's midterm elections…
China calls on US and EU to reconsider tariffssemafor.com · 5 days agoBeijing said it was willing to buy more US farm goods, but only if the two sides agreed to slash tariffs. Beijing called on the US and the EU to reconsider their levies on Chinese goods, as the countryâs exports reached record highs…
Argentina Opens 50,000 Tariff-Free Car SlotsThe Rio Times · 42 h agoArgentina has opened its 2027 quota of 50,000 hybrid and electric cars at zero import duty, with price caps of US$16,000 to US$35,000. Argentina’s government has opened applications for its 2027 quota of 50,000 hybrid and electric cars…
Togo and 3 Sahel States Draft Tariff PlanThe Rio Times · 32 h agoTogo and three Sahel states have drafted a joint tariff plan that could change how goods move inland from Lomé’s port. Customs experts from Togo, Mali, Niger and Burkina Faso worked on the text in Ouagadougou until Wednesday 14 October…
Chinese tariff relief welcomed by B.C. crab harvestersTimes Colonist · 33 h agoCrab fishermen of B.C. are expressing a wave of relief since China agreed to extend its expiring tariff exemptions on crab and lobster, among a range of other Canadian goods. “This is great news for the crab fishery,” said Megan Eadie, the…
Australia risks ‘green tariffs’ without Paris Agreement, senior Liberal claimsThe West Australian · 46 h agoA senior Liberal MP has revealed why he thinks Australia should stay in an international climate agreement despite it being at odds with the Coalition’s energy agenda. Australia could be exposed to âgreen tariffsâ if it leaves the…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions