Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Oct 31, 9 PM ET14% → 20%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Yes
12%
▼ 2
11¢
12¢
$8.33
72.0K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Cuba holds on as Trump ups pressurePOLITICO · 14 days agoFrom the SitRoom to the E-Ring, the inside scoop on defense, national security and foreign policy. By ERIC BAZAIL-EIMIL and GISELLE RUHIYYIH EWING 10/26/2026 04:07 PM EDT Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodríguez gives a news conference…
Trump says Marco Rubio could 'settle' Cuba in 15 minutesFox News · 13 days agoPresident Donald Trump jokes about dropping Secretary of State Marco Rubio off in Cuba. Trump suggests Rubio could settle the country's issues in 15 minutes. Trump says Marco Rubio could 'settle' Cuba in 15 minutes President Donald Trump…
Ambassador Michael Waltz confronts Cuban delegate at the UNFox Business · 13 days agoAmbassador Michael Waltz defends the United States against intimidation by a Cuban delegate during a tense United Nations meeting. Waltz firmly orders the delegate to back away from the podium, reminding him that 'this isn't Havana.' The…
Shouting match erupts at UN as Waltz rips CubaFox News · 13 days agoFox News senior foreign policy correspondent Gillian Turner joins ‘America Reports’ to report on a heated exchange at the United Nations involving Cuba’s foreign minister and U.S. Ambassador to the U.N. Mike Waltz over the U.S. embargo on…
Choque en la ONU durante el evento “Cuba libre”Fox News · 13 days ago¡Momento de máxima tensión en la ONU! Diplomáticos de Cuba y Estados Unidos protagonizan un tenso altercado durante el evento "Cuba Libre" en Nueva York. Choque en la ONU durante el evento “Cuba libre” ¡Momento de máxima tensión en la ONU!…
Waltz clashes with Cuba over embargo in heated UN exchangeFox News · 13 days agoU.S. Ambassador to the U.N. Mike Waltz and Cuba’s foreign minister trade barbs over the U.S. embargo on Cuba during a tense U.N. meeting. Waltz clashes with Cuba over embargo in heated UN exchange U.S. Ambassador to the U.N. Mike Waltz and…
Angie Nixon faces backlash over Cuba comments as AOC defends socialist idealsFox News · 13 days agoFlorida Senate hopeful Angie Nixon faces scrutiny over her comments on Cuba. Fox News contributor Joe Concha joins to discuss the backlash and New York Rep, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez defending socialist ideals. Angie Nixon faces backlash…
'You're lying' - US and Cuban officials have a shouting match at UNbbc.co.uk · 13 days agoDuring a meeting at the United Nations General Assembly, a tense confrontation erupted between US and Cuban officials. It began after Mike Waltz, US Ambassador to the UN, claimed that the Havana government has profited off the forced…
DSA-linked Dem Senate nominee raises eyebrows with response to question about CubaFox News · 13 days agoFlorida Democratic Senate nominee Angie Nixon responds when CBS News asks whether she considers Cuba a dictatorship. DSA-linked Dem Senate nominee raises eyebrows with response to question about Cuba Florida Democratic Senate nominee Angie…
US envoy Mike Waltz clashes with Cuban foreign minister during heated UN exchangeFox News · 13 days agoU.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Mike Waltz clashes with Cuban Foreign Minister Bruno Rodríguez Parrilla during a heated exchange on the floor of the UN General Assembly. US envoy Mike Waltz clashes with Cuban foreign minister during…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions