Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Yes
2%
1¢
3¢
$37.04
14.4K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Treasury yields rise as investors weigh midterm vote, jobs data and Iran tensionsCNBC · 7 days agoTreasury yields edged higher Tuesday as voting began in the U.S. midterm elections, while investors parse a busy week of economic data and renewed Middle East tensions that pushed oil prices higher. The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield — the…
Bitcoin Firm Strive Climbs Up the Treasury Ranks With Another Big BuyDecrypt · 7 days agoStrive, the Dallas-based company co-founded by Vivek Ramaswamy, now holds 43,124 Bitcoin after buying 124 BTC more last week. That stash is now worth roughly $3.3 billion, and good for about 0.2% of the 21 million coins that will ever…
Treasury yields are mixed as oil prices tumble ahead of the midtermsCNBC · 8 days agoU.S. Treasury yields were mixed early Monday as investors gear up for another busy week of economic data and corporate earnings, as well as the midterm elections. The 10-year Treasury was down by 2 basis points at 4.906%. The 30-year…
FILE PHOTO: The Department of the TreasuryThe Daily News · 6 days agoThe Daily News | Texas' Oldest Newspaper - Incumbents sweep League City election, one runoff planned - Democrats lead statewide early returns as Republicans carry Galveston County - Republican Middleton defeated in Texas Attorney General…
Treasury Revamps Debt-Sale Guidance, Holds Auctions SteadyMarketScreener · 5 days agoPublished on 11/04/2026 at 01:39 pm EST This is His Defeat November 04, 2026 at 09:20 am EST The old economy fights back Is French Debt Still Sustainable? Lagarde Heads for the Exit, Tech Loses Its Footing
Treasury Late-Day LevelsMarketScreener · 6 days agoPublished on 11/03/2026 at 03:01 pm EST The old economy fights back November 03, 2026 at 02:11 am EST Lagarde Heads for the Exit, Tech Loses Its Footing Wall Street Picks Up the Pieces What if the best AI trade was a German software…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions