The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Dec 1, 2026
13%
▼ 1
10¢
15¢
$6.67
7.5K
Before Jan 1, 2027
27%
▼ 1
25¢
29¢
$3.45
17.3K
Before Apr 1, 2027
50%
▼ 2
46¢
53¢
$1.89
620
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: United States Triumphal Arch, Washington
White House recasts Trump arch as military tributeDevdiscourse · 3 days agoRead more about White House recasts Trump arch as military tribute on Devdiscourse White House recasts Trump arch as military tribute Hours after a US judge paused construction on President Donald Trump's proposed 250-foot (76.2-meter)…
Judge puts Trump's arch project on hold despite commission's approvalThe Art Newspaper · 3 days agoThe latest rendering of the controversial arch, complete with a winged Statue of Liberty holding a torch with real fire United States Triumphal Arch Foundation Moments after the National Capital Planning Commission (NCPC)—a review panel…
Washington football's defense displaying unique versatilityYahoo Sports · 3 days agoIn Ryan Walters' second season with the Washington Huskies, he's added several wrinkles to his defense. While the former Purdue head coach has continued to run a 4-2-5 alignment as his base defense, over the last few weeks the Huskies have…
The Republicans take the court as the Washington GeneralsWashington Examiner · 4 days agoWashington Examiner is a news organization based in Washington, D.C., covering Congress, the White House, national security, the courts and elections, with breaking news, investigative reporting and conservative analysis. It publishes a…
Nvidia faces a more hostile Washingtonsemafor.com · 3 days agoThree Republican House members also recently requested Huang appear in a private briefing on whether he was the target of a Chinese spy. CEO Jensen Huangâs close relationship with President Trump is unlikely to inoculate the company from…
Washington feeling reverberations of midterm election sweepCBS News · 4 days agoCBS News Washington feeling reverberations of midterm election sweep Switching to potassium-enriched salt could save lives New plan for 30-mile trail on metro-Atlanta's Flint River Westside Stride takes over Atlanta neighborhood Georgia…
DeSantis blasts Washington Post over report he's preparing 2028 presidential bidFox News · 3 days agoFlorida Gov. Ron DeSantis said Wednesday following the midterm elections that Democrats "did not earn a mandate to indulge all their left-wing fantasies." Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis fired back Friday at a report that he is preparing another…
Blue Colorado and Washington state ban transgender athletes in girls’ sportsThe Washington Post · 3 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. The success of the…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions