Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
Nov 7, 11 PM ET85% → 75%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
76%
74¢
77¢
$1.30
68.6K
1
6%
5¢
8¢
$13.16
18.9K
2
5%
4¢
5¢
$20.41
23.3K
3
3%
1¢
4¢
$25.00
14.5K
4
2%
1¢
4¢
$27.03
7.8K
5
2%
0¢
4¢
$27.03
6.5K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The verdict is in: Hegseth is Trump’s worst Cabinet choiceThe Washington Post · 8 days agoBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. At the start of…
Shabana Mahmood softens immigration plans in face of cabinet backlashthe Guardian · 7 days agoException for care workers will allow up to 300,000 people to apply for indefinite leave to remain after five years Shabana Mahmood has softened plans to force low-paid workers to wait 15 years before settlement in the UK following a…
'Defund Musk': Former Clinton Cabinet official urges Democrats to target SpaceX founderFox Business · 9 days agoReich urged Democrats to lay the groundwork for government control of Musk's companies during an appearance on the Coffee Klatch podcast, accusing the billionaire of wielding too much political power (Credit: Youtube/Robert Reich). Former…
Lee attends Cabinet meetingYonhap News Agency · 7 days agoYonhap News Agency President Lee Jae Myung speaks during a Cabinet meeting at the presidential office Cheong Wa Dae in Seoul on Nov. 3, 2026. (Yonhap)(END)
Cabinet meeting scheduled after two weeksOnlineKhabar English News · 7 days agoOnlineKhabar English News Cabinet meeting scheduled after two weeks A Cabinet meeting is scheduled to take place at 4 pm today, according to the Office of the Prime Minister and Council of Ministers. Prime Minister Balen Shah has called…
Cabinet Hails Gateway Gulf’s $20bn DealsNews of Bahrain · 7 days agoMore than 110 investment deals announced Published 3 November 2026, 12:12 - Ministers thank Foreign Ministry, EDB and delegations for hosting success - 110-Plus Partnerships Set to Create Jobs, Says Cabinet - Cabinet Approved GCC Rail Law…
Moce appointed new Secretary to CabinetThe Fiji Times · 7 days agoCareer civil servant Samuela Moce has been appointed the new Secretary to Cabinet, bringing more than 30 years of public service experience to the role. The Office of the Prime Minister confirmed the appointment, saying Mr Moce was…
Yemen's PLC chief reshuffles cabinet amid battlefield pressureThe Hans India · 7 days agoSanaa: Yemen's Presidential Leadership Council (PLC) chief Rashad al-Alimi has reshuffled key cabinet and military posts as Houthi advances put government forces under growing pressure. According to the government-run Saba news agency on…
Should the State CIO Be on the Governor's Cabinet?GovTech · 7 days agoAbout half of state CIOs sit on the governor’s cabinet, giving them executive access that can help advance technology. But that's not the only path to success. IE 11 Not Supported Should the State CIO Be on the Governor's Cabinet?
Eisenkot refuses Netanyahu cabinet role even if Trump intervenesYeni Şafak English · 7 days ago“I will not sit in a government led by Netanyahu,” Eisenkot was quoted as saying. He added: “If Trump invites me, I will respect the president and attend, but I will stress that this concerns internal Israeli affairs, and I will prevent…
Yemen reshuffles cabinet as Houthis advance towards AdenThe National · 7 days agoYemen’s internationally recognised government has appointed three new ministers in a cabinet reshuffle, as fighting against the Houthis intensifies and the Iran-backed rebels advance towards the government’s temporary capital, Aden. Salem…
Igwe Nnewi inaugurates new Nnewi Royal CabinetThe Sun Nigeria · 7 days ago02 November 2026 8:49 pm WAT History was made on the 31st October 2026, as Igwe Nnewi, Dr. KON Orizu CON, JP inaugurated the Nnewi Royal Cabinet as one of the events to mark his 101 years birthday and 63 years on the throne of his…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions