The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
At least 1
61%
▲ 1
58¢
63¢
$1.59
1.1K
At least 2
43%
40¢
45¢
$2.22
2.5K
At least 3
39%
34¢
43¢
$2.33
499
At least 5
32%
▲ 2
27¢
36¢
$2.78
2.9K
At least 8
24%
23¢
24¢
$4.17
2.7K
At least 12
24%
▲ 1
22¢
26¢
$3.85
1.2K
At least 15
13%
▲ 1
10¢
16¢
$6.25
1.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Trump calls out Senate Republicans after midterm lossesFox News · 2 days agoRon Johnson, R-Wisc., joins 'Saturday in America' to discuss President Donald Trump's comments to Senate Republicans and a new bid for Senate minority leader. Trump calls out Senate Republicans after midterm losses Ron Johnson, R-Wisc…
Senate Republicans Could Protect America With the Will and a Backbonepjmedia.com · 22 h agoImagine for a moment that Senate Republicans woke up tomorrow with a backbone and decided to fight as hard as Democrats do. With a Democrat majority about to take over the chamber, they'd look at the calendar, see the clock ticking, and…
Senate Republicans Eye Judicial Nomination Blitz in Lame DuckDr. Rich Swier · 19 h agoThe Republican Party will likely not have control of the United States Senate until January 2033. Which means there will be no Conservative judges nominated to the courts until at least that time. As such, all of President Trump’s…
Senate Republicans Push to Delay Leadership ElectionPolitical Wire · 2 days ago“Several Senate Republicans are pushing to delay the party’s leadership elections scheduled for next week following the GOP’s midterms defeat, a move that may open the door to a potential challenge against John Thune,” Bloomberg reports…
John Thune's Push to Lead Senate Republicans Again Is Getting Bogged Downtownhall.com · 17 h agoSen. Dave McCormick (R-Pa.) is calling for a delay in Tuesday's Senate GOP leadership elections, injecting another note of uncertainty into what had been a largely foregone conclusion before Republicans' devastating midterm defeat. Why it…
Susan Collins' loss means New England will have no Senate Republicans@wbur · 4 days agoWBUR Susan Collins, the GOP electoral stalwart from Maine, went under in this week's blue wave. The five-term senator lost to Democrat Troy Jackson. Come January, New England will not have a single Republican in the U.S. Senate. James…
DeSantis rips into Senate Republicans for inactionJohn Locke Foundation · 4 days agoJim Hoft writes for the Gateway Pundit about the latest commentary from Florida’s governor. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis unleashed a blistering attack on Republican leadership following Tuesday’s disastrous midterm elections, accusing GOP…
Garlan Gudger nominated again for State Senate Pro-Tem by Senate Republican Caucus1819 News · 4 days agoAt its post-election meeting in Birmingham on Thursday, the 24-member Senate Republican Caucus nominated State Sen. Pro-Tem Garlan Gudger (R-Cullman) for a full term as the State Senate's leader for the upcoming quadrennium. Republicans…
Missouri Senate Republicans choose new leaders as election losses reshape chamber@NewsTribune · 4 days agoMissouri Senate Republicans will return to Jefferson City in January with fewer seats, a flood of newcomers and new leaders who say they heard voters' frustration Tuesday -- even as they have yet to settle on what to do about it. Sen…
Thune's role as top Senate Republican in question after election lossesThe National Desk · 3 days agoHUNT VALLEY, Md. (TNND) — Senate Majority Leader John Thune will run for reelection to his caucus' top position, but it's unclear whether he'll have the support of President Donald Trump and other MAGA Republicans after the party's…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions