Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before January 20, 2029
33%
▲ 1
32¢
33¢
$3.03
648.9K
Before 2028
19%
▼ 1
18¢
19¢
$5.26
986.3K
Before 2027
2%
2¢
3¢
$40.00
6.7M
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Census 2027 To Be Held From January 25 To February 28, Excluding Poll-Bound StatesABP Live English · 10 days agoNew Delhi: Population census will be conducted across India, except in poll-going and snow-bound regions, from January 25 to February 28, 2027, the Census Commissioner announced on Friday. According to an official notification, the…
‘Without the Arabs!’ Israeli politicians urges government excluding PalestiniansMiddle East Eye · 12 days agoIsrael First leader Sharren Haskel has demanded a coalition excluding Palestinian-led parties after blaming far-right leaders for boosting Palestinian voter turnout. The former deputy foreign minister accused far-right leaders Itamar Ben…
Trump prefers Israeli government excluding Ben-Gvir and Smotrich: ReportKalingaTV · 12 days agoJerusalem: US President Donald Trump hopes to see an Israeli governing coalition formed without right-wing ministers Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich. The Jerusalem Post reported on Wednesday, citing news outlet Walla, that American…
Excluding Evidence of Benefit Does Not Establish Its Absence@acshorg · 12 days agoThe fundamental problem is the mismatch between the authors’ restricted evidence base and their broad conclusion. Their analysis can describe outcomes in the trials they selected. It cannot establish that sustained opioid benefit is absent…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions