Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Yes
86%
84¢
87¢
$1.15
24.7K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The Odds: Another Trump Impeachmentcnn.com · 12 h agoCNN News Central's John Berman and Chief Data Analyst Harry Enten examine what polling and prediction markets reveal about the likelihood of another Trump impeachment effort once Democrats take control of Congress in January. The Odds…
Trump: New Iran attacks "quite unlikely"Axios · 5 h agoPresident Trump said Monday that a renewed military campaign against Iran is "quite unlikely" and "doesn't seem to be necessary."Why it matters: Trump stopped short of saying the war was over, but his comments on Truth Social and at an…
Russia and Ukraine Keep Ignoring Donald TrumpNewsweek · 5 h agoNov 09, 2026 at 12:27 PM EST Russia and Ukraine traded strikes on each other's energy infrastructure into Monday, targeting sites President Donald Trump had decreed last month—without Kyiv and Moscow's agreement—to be off limits. The…
Trump talks midterms with 60 minutesCBS News · 22 h agoDays after Republicans faced a series of bruising midterm election losses, President Trump stood by his handling of the economy and the Iran war — but he acknowledged some "bad messaging" on economic issues and said his immigration…
11/8/2026: Donald Trump; France on FireCBS News · 23 h agoCBS News is a trusted source for the latest in politics, U.S. and world news. The network is home to award-winning broadcasts CBS Mornings, CBS Evening News, 60 Minutes, CBS Sunday Morning, 48 Hours and Face the Nation. 11/8/2026: Donald…
Eye Opener: Trump reckons with midterm resultsCBS News · 14 h agoPresident Trump is reckoning with Republican midterm losses. Meanwhile, the Nvidia CEO admitted to an affair as he's investigated for ties to a suspected Chinese spy. All that and all that matters in today's Eye Opener. Eye Opener: Trump…
Trump dismisses prospects of a third impeachmentFox News · 26 h agoFollowing the midterm election results, President Donald Trump dismissed threats of another impeachment effort from Democrats and claimed his past two impeachments ultimately worked to his advantage. Trump dismisses prospects of a third…
Trump casts doubt on Democrats’ historic midterm winsThe Washington Post · 10 h agoNearly a week after Democrats decisively took back the House and Senate majorities in the midterms, President Donald Trump is casting doubt on the results. “Does anybody really believe that this ‘Election’ was honest. How could the Polls…
Oil drops as Trump signals restraint with IranFox Business · 7 h ago'The Big Money Show' debates President Donald Trump's strategy regarding the conflict in Iran as he signals restraint and the impact of the war and gas prices on the midterm elections. Oil drops as Trump signals restraint with Iran 'The…
Marco Rubio defends Trump's Iran actionFox News · 28 h agoSecretary of State Marco Rubio defended President Donald Trump's actions against Iran on Sunday, arguing he confronted a national security threat that previous presidents failed to address. Marco Rubio defends Trump's Iran action Secretary…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions