Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Jan 1, 2027
19%
▲ 1
16¢
22¢
$4.55
3.3K
Before Feb 1, 2027
19%
14¢
23¢
$4.35
Before Mar 1, 2027
20%
▲ 1
15¢
24¢
$4.17
Before Apr 1, 2027
22%
▲ 1
18¢
26¢
$3.85
23.00
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Trump says Iran war ‘was a piece of’ Republican midterm lossesJewish Insider · 6 days agoThe president told the Wall Street Journal the spike in oil prices was a key factor but maintains ‘I did the right thing’ Aaron Schwartz / AFP via Getty Images US President Donald Trump speaks during a Cabinet meeting at Camp David in…
Zionism Is Class Wartribunemag.co.uk · 7 days agoThe effort to ‘normalise’ Israel is really an attempt to legitimise poverty, plunder and repression. Join our mailing list ‘Don’t do anything crazy, boy.’ These were reportedly the last words the Egyptian president Anwar El Sadat said to…
From $100 million to $330 billion: the history of US aid to Israelynetglobal · 6 days agoTrump's surprise announcement could bring an early end to more than 75 years of American assistance to Israel; from the Yom Kippur War and Camp David to Iron Dome, how US aid became a cornerstone of the alliance, and why Israeli officials…
Veteran Spotlight: Derek VolkmerWMAR 2 News Baltimore · 7 days agoThis week’s Veteran Spotlight honors Derek Volkmer, a Baltimore native who served in the U.S. Army with the 101st Airborne. Volkmer served in Iraq from 2005 to 2009 and also took part in a peace mission in Egypt connected to the Camp David…
He carried a bullet for life. Then he helped negotiate peace.St. Louis Jewish Light · 8 days agoAish is leaving its longtime Chesterfield home. The reason says a lot about Jewish St. Louis. Missouri's abortion debate is back. A St. Louis rabbi explains what Jewish law says. Two Jewish pastry chefs came to St. Louis to turn matzo into…
Half a century later: Remembering Jimmy Carter’s historic 1976 presidential victory@WRDW_WAGT · 7 days agoATLANTA, Ga. (WRDW/WAGT) - Exactly 50 years ago, a one-term Georgia governor completed one of the most improbable political ascents in American history. On Nov. 2, 1976, James Earl Carter Jr. was elected the 39th president of the United…
The Middle East: No Country for Old AlliancesThe Washington Outsider · 8 days agoBarrack’s Camp David Excuse If Washington is treating Egypt’s cooperation with Greece as an obstacle to membership, it is effectively allowing Turkish regional preferences to influence the composition of the Mecca Accord. That would give…
Is Japan-South Korea rapprochement finally built to last?Asia Times · 9 days agoJapan-South Korea ties are on the upswing. After a recent decade of some of the tensest relations since normalization, Seoul and Tokyo appear to be setting aside their differences as they enter a new phase of closer cooperation and active…
Wirth criticizes U.S. arms sale to Saudis | A LOOK BACKColorado Politics · 10 days agoThe sale of AWACS had been called a litmus test of U.S. and Saudi friendship, but Wirth disagreed and said that weapons were no substitute for U.S. energy self-reliance and the nation’s energy policy could be predicated on selling weapons…
The two-state solution is a suicide pactIsrael & Jewish News - JNS · 12 days agoIf the Palestinians had a state, would Iran have abandoned its nuclear ambitions? Would it have stopped financing Hezbollah, Hamas and the Houthis? Would Tehran cease threatening the Sunni Arab states? Would the Muslim Brotherhood…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions