Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Before Dec 1, 2026
16%
▼ 1
13¢
18¢
$5.56
208
Before Jan 1, 2027
24%
▲ 1
20¢
28¢
$3.57
1.1K
Before Jul 1, 2027
36%
▲ 1
31¢
40¢
$2.50
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Trump’s Pentagon rewards admitted fraudster with $400M no-bid dealAlternet.org · 7 days agoDonald Trump’s Pentagon has given Raytheon a no-bid contract extension of up to $394 million after the manufacturer admitted to fraud. The move by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s department is for the weapons manufacturer that, only two…
Trump may pin blame for war with Iran on Pentagon chief — magazineTASS · 8 days agoAccording to the magazine, Trump has focused his attention on those who assured him that the war would end quickly and well before the midterm congressional elections - Russian Politics & Diplomacy Russian Politics & DiplomacyInto section…
Report: As he weighs Iran strikes after midterms, Trump questions Pentagon leadershipIsrael National News · 8 days agoUS President Donald Trump is considering another round of military strikes against Iran following Tuesday's midterm elections, while privately questioning the performance of senior Pentagon officials who advised him during the war, The…
Pentagon drills up, public prep lagsenmnews.com · 8 days agoAs Britain, Sweden and Japan press households to get ready for emergencies, Washington is sending a different signal. The Trump administration is leaning harder into military resilience, even as experts say ordinary Americans remain…
Pentagon Pete Busted Handing $400M to Fraud FirmPunchUp · 8 days agoRaytheon was awarded the massive deal just a month after it was determined that it wouldn’t be suspended for defrauding Hegseth’s department. Pentagon Pete Busted Handing $400M to Fraud Firm Raytheon was awarded the massive deal just a…
The Pentagon-Silicon Complex and the Rise of the Neo-PrimesWar on the Rocks · 8 days agoWhat happens when the military depends on technologies it doesn’t own? Sharon Weinberger, the new editor-in-chief of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, stops by the studio to discuss her book, Valley of Death: How Big Tech Is Fueling…
How a Contractor’s Claude Agent Got Into the PentagonWIRED · 10 days agoArticles mentioned in this episode: You can follow Brian Barrett on Bluesky at @brbarrett, Zoë Schiffer on Bluesky at @zoeschiffer, and Leah Feiger on Bluesky at @leahfeiger. Write to us at [email protected]. Brian Barrett: Welcome to the…
New Pentagon files reveal UFO sightings off California coastGEEKSPIN · 7 days agoby Stefan Milovanovic November 2, 2026, 5:15 pm Newly released Pentagon files show that Santa Catalina Island, a popular tourist spot about 22 miles off the coast of Southern California, was the site of several reported UFO sightings in…
Pentagon Moves to Unify Workforce Training RecordsGovCIO Media & Research · 8 days agoProject eLMS aims to give War Department personnel a single training record that follows them throughout their careers. The War Department is moving to a unified learning management system to eliminate duplicative platforms and create a…
Sanford Pentagon helps tip off college basketball seasonKELOLAND.com · 7 days agoSIOUX FALLS, S.D. (KELO) — The Field of 68 Opening Day Marathon tipped off at midnight Eastern time with the first of eight mid-major college basketball games, two of which were played in Sioux Falls. Maddie Hamilton is one of the first…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions