The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
<60
3%
▲ 2
3¢
4¢
$25.00
8.9K
60-79
13%
▲ 13
14¢
15¢
$6.67
6.7K
80-99
15%
▲ 10
16¢
17¢
$5.88
6.1K
100-119
17%
▲ 10
18¢
19¢
$5.26
6.8K
120-139
12%
▲ 2
12¢
13¢
$7.69
3.6K
140-159
9%
▼ 1
9¢
10¢
$10.00
2.6K
160-179
9%
▼ 1
9¢
10¢
$10.00
3.3K
180-199
6%
▼ 4
6¢
7¢
$14.29
2.4K
200-219
5%
▼ 4
5¢
6¢
$16.67
2.8K
220+
11%
▼ 30
11¢
12¢
$8.33
7.0K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Donald Trump questions legitimacy of US midterm election resultsThe National · 9 h agoDONALD Trump has called into question the legitimacy of the recent US midterm election results after initially saying he would accept the outcome. Democrats cruised to a stunning “blue wave” of victories, consigning the Republican party to…
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Trump Makes Wild Election Claim as Miller Takes the ReinsThe Daily Beast · 2 days agoApparently, voting for someone else still counts as voting Republican. Donald Trump is declaring victory in an election that hasn’t been decided—and using his own version of election math to do it. In a remarkably bold Truth Social post…
Trump calls for DOJ to investigate Democrats, Sen. Slotkin in Truth Social postYahoo News · 2 days agoIn a Truth Social post on Saturday, Nov. 7, President Donald Trump called on the Department of Justice to investigate Democrats for "threatening" members of his administration and donors with impeachment. "The Senator from Michigan, Elissa…
UFC President Dana White offered press secretary job, Trump saysYahoo News · 3 days agoUFC President Dana White has been offered the job of White House press secretary. White, a longtime friend of Trump's, was offered the job on social media. "Dana, please take the job!" President Donald Trump says he's offered the job of…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions