Who will receive the Presidential Medal of Freedom in 2026?

Kalshi Politics › Trump administration Closes Dec 31 · $2.1K traded · $722 at stake · prices read 64 min ago

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The odds

8%Lee Greenwood
  • Lee Greenwood8%
  • Sean Hannity7%
  • Dana White6%
  • Kid Rock6%
  • Sylvester Stallone5%
  • Elon Musk5%
  • Reid Wiseman5%
  • Bill Belichick3%
  • Dan Scavino3%

How the odds have moved

Lee Greenwood: 16% on Oct 20, 8% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
Lee Greenwood 8% 6¢ 10¢ $10.00 6.2K
Sean Hannity 7% 5¢ 9¢ $11.11 3.3K
Dana White 6% 4¢ 7¢ $14.29 19.1K
Kid Rock 6% 3¢ 8¢ $12.50 2.2K
Sylvester Stallone 5% 3¢ 7¢ $14.29 944
Elon Musk 5% 3¢ 7¢ $14.29 1.6K
Reid Wiseman 5% 2¢ 7¢ $14.29 1.4K
Bill Belichick 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 1.7K
Dan Scavino 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 88.00

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Presidential Medal of Freedom, Lee Greenwood, Sean Hannity

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Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions