Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Yes
3%
1¢
5¢
$22.22
64.0K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Trump-Backed American Bitcoin Turns a Profit as Bitcoin Rise Lifts BooksDecrypt · 4 days agoAmerican Bitcoin, the Trump-family-backed mining venture, swung to a roughly $126 million profit in the third quarter, a sharp reversal from the loss it posted three months earlier, as a jump in Bitcoin’s book value and disciplined…
Why Bitcoin's Next Soft Fork Could Feel Like a Practice RunDecrypt · 5 days agoFour flaws in Bitcoin’s consensus rules that have lingered for years. Issues like quantum resistance may command attention, but a practical cleanup is what many experts think Bitcoin’s next soft fork is likely to address, spanning fixes…
Bitcoin Shrugs Off Midterms as Experts Say Democratic Sweep Was 'Priced In'Decrypt · 5 days agoDemocrats flipped both the House of Representatives and the Senate in the U.S. midterms, handing President Donald Trump a major political setback. Experts say this was not the "preferred outcome" for crypto markets and that it has…
Judge Orders Bitcoin Wallet Returned to Family of Convicted Canadian KillerDecrypt · 5 days agoA Canadian judge has ordered that a laptop containing a Bitcoin wallet be returned to the family of William Sandeson, who is serving a life sentence for the 2015 murder of fellow university student Taylor Samson during a drugs deal, Global…
Tether Holds 150,000 Bitcoin, CEO Says—About 50,000 More Than Its Reserve Report ShowsDecrypt · 6 days agoTether CEO Paolo Ardoino said the stablecoin giant now holds around 150,000 Bitcoin, worth roughly $11.5 billion at current prices, a figure that exceeds what the company’s own reserve disclosures imply by some 50,000 coins. “We have give…
Liquid Network Restores Full Bitcoin Backing Two Months After $320M ExploitDecrypt · 6 days agoThe Liquid Network's Bitcoin reserves have been fully restored, two months after self-described white-hat hackers drained most of them, the Liquid Federation said on Monday. The federation said it had reestablished 1:1 Bitcoin backing for…
Brazil's Biggest Bitcoin Exchange Says It Will Refund Users After a $40 Million HackDecrypt · 6 days agoBrazil's largest crypto exchange says its users won't pay for its hack. Mercado Bitcoin, which lost tens of millions of dollars on Monday, says the losses are its problem, not its customers'. An exchange holds your coins the way a bank…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Progressives. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Progressives, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Progressives index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Progressives Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions